The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Excelsior v FC Twente Enschede

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 13:30 UTC

Final: Excelsior 0–9 FC Twente Enschede

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Excelsior (Local)

Prediction 16.30%6.13fair odd
EV +14.12%
Edge +2.02%
Kelly +2.35%
Growth +0.332%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.91%16.27%16.36%18.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.825.757.0020.83%17.19%17.39%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Twente Enschede (Visit)

Prediction 63.37%1.58fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -7.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.67%63.35%63.37%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.471.481.5274.07%68.25%67.57%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.32%4.92fair odd
EV -0.418%
Edge -0.085%
Kelly -0.107%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.44%20.38%20.27%21.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.544.544.9023.81%22.01%22.03%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Excelsior (Local): 16.30%; FC Twente Enschede (Visit): 63.37%; Draw: 20.32%. For Excelsior (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.13. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%EV +14.12%E +2.02%K +2.35%G +0.332%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.07%EV -6.21%E -4.19%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%EV -0.418%E -0.085%K -0.107%G +0.000%2.3%2026-11-01 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%EV +14.12%E +2.02%K +2.35%G +0.332%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.07%EV -6.21%E -4.19%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%EV -0.418%E -0.085%K -0.107%G +0.000%2.3%2026-11-01 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV +14.12%E +2.02%K +2.35%G +0.332%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.23%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV -0.418%E -0.085%K -0.107%G +0.000%2.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +4.33%E +0.677%K +0.803%G +0.035%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -9.37%E -6.56%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 12:50
Casumo🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +4.33%E +0.677%K +0.803%G +0.035%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -9.37%E -6.56%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 12:50
betPARX🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV +4.33%E +0.677%K +0.803%G +0.035%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -9.37%E -6.56%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 12:55
Pinnacle🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.83%EV -0.556%E -0.091%K -0.109%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.93%EV -4.30%E -2.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.24%EV -3.06%E -0.642%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-01 13:25
Unibet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -0.556%E -0.091%K -0.109%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -9.37%E -6.56%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.55%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 13:25
Grosvenor🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -0.556%E -0.091%K -0.109%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.59%EV -10.01%E -7.05%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.55%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 12:50
1xBet🎯6.08I 16.45%NM 15.79%EV -0.883%E -0.145%K -0.174%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.16%EV -3.67%E -2.41%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.05%EV -7.33%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 13:20
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -2.19%E -0.364%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.00%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.45%E -0.511%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 13:25
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.19%E -0.364%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.87%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.47%E -0.730%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-01 13:24
LowVig.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -2.19%E -0.364%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.65%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.44%EV -5.09%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -2.19%E -0.364%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.65%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.44%EV -5.09%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 12:55
BetUS🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -2.19%E -0.364%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.65%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.44%EV -5.09%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 12:55
BetAnything🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -2.19%E -0.364%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.65%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.44%EV -5.09%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 12:55
Tipico (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -2.19%E -0.364%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.51%EV -8.11%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.48%E -0.954%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 13:10
BetRivers🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -2.19%E -0.364%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -10.01%E -7.05%K -23.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -8.55%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 12:50
TABtouch🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -2.19%E -0.364%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.29%EV -10.64%E -7.55%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -10.58%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -2.19%E -0.364%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.29%EV -10.64%E -7.55%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -10.58%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -2.19%E -0.364%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.29%EV -10.64%E -7.55%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -10.58%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -2.19%E -0.364%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.30%EV -11.28%E -8.05%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -11.60%E -2.67%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-01 13:25
SportsBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -3.82%E -0.647%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -6.21%E -4.19%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -8.55%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:20
FanDuel🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -3.82%E -0.647%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -6.21%E -4.19%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -8.55%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 13:19
NordicBet🎯5.85I 17.09%NM 16.17%EV -4.63%E -0.792%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.79%EV -7.53%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 13:25
Betsson🎯5.83I 17.15%NM 16.06%EV -4.96%E -0.850%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.27%EV -6.21%E -4.19%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.67%EV -7.94%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 13:05
Codere (IT)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.32%EV -5.45%E -0.939%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.54%EV -5.57%E -3.74%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -4.48%E -0.954%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 13:10
PMU (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV -5.45%E -0.939%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.15%EV -12.54%E -9.09%K -33.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.59%EV -12.61%E -2.93%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-01 13:25
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.26%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.47%E -0.730%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 10:59
Coolbet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.26%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.47%E -0.730%K -0.924%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 13:15
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.26%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 13:15
Coral🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.26%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 05:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.26%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -6.26%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -6.21%E -4.19%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -3.47%E -0.730%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 13:05
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -6.26%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -6.21%E -4.19%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -3.47%E -0.730%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 12:35
DraftKings🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -6.26%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -5.57%E -3.74%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 05:35
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.26%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.57%E -3.74%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.64%EV -7.53%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 13:05
Betway🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.26%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -6.21%E -4.19%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.55%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 11:00
Neds🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -8.71%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -8.55%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 12:35
picklebet_au🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -10.34%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -2.45%E -0.511%K -0.645%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 13:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.34%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.55%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.34%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -6.21%E -4.19%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -6.52%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 05:05
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.34%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -12.00%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 13:05
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.34%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -12.00%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 13:05
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.34%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -12.00%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 13:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.34%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -12.00%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 13:05
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.34%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -6.21%E -4.19%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.55%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 13:25
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -10.34%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -6.84%E -4.65%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.58%E -2.40%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 13:15
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.34%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.00%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 11:20
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.34%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.00%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 13:20
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.34%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.00%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -10.34%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.00%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.55%EV -11.97%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.37%EV -10.64%E -7.55%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.08%EV -9.56%E -2.15%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 13:05
NetBet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.36%EV -11.97%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.10%EV -11.28%E -8.05%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.54%EV -12.61%E -2.93%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-01 13:10
Sky Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -14.41%E -2.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.64%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -15.23%E -2.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.00%EV -8.11%E -5.59%K -18.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.44%EV -4.48%E -0.954%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 13:05
Unibet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 16.73%EV -16.86%E -3.31%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 63.20%EV -14.44%E -10.70%K -41.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.07%EV -13.63%E -3.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%17.2%2026-11-01 13:04
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.11%EV -21.75%E -4.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 61.67%EV -10.64%E -7.55%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.22%EV -12.61%E -2.93%K -3.82%G +0.000%15.0%2026-11-01 13:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.0%2026-11-01 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.0%2026-11-01 13:25
Matchbook◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.0%2026-11-01 13:25
Smarkets◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.04%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-11-01 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.04%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-11-01 13:20
Kalshi◎6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61%1.9%2026-11-01 13:05

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.