Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Excelsior v FC Twente Enschede

2026-11-01 13:30 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Excelsior (Local)

Prediction 18.28%5.47fair odd
EV +0.528%
Edge +0.096%
Kelly +0.117%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.20%18.32%18.43%19.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.975.005.5022.73%20.11%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Twente Enschede (Visit)

Prediction 61.09%1.64fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -7.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.91%60.88%60.98%62.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.501.501.5770.92%66.78%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.64%4.85fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.417%
Kelly -0.528%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.13%20.80%20.60%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.334.334.7525.00%23.08%23.09%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Excelsior (Local): 18.28%; FC Twente Enschede (Visit): 61.09%; Draw: 20.64%. For Excelsior (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.47. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.50, producing a positive expected value of +0.528%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +0.528%E +0.096%K +0.117%G +0.001%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -6.54%E -4.27%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -1.98%E -0.417%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-19 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +0.528%E +0.096%K +0.117%G +0.001%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.24%EV -7.15%E -4.70%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -5.08%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-19 15:45
SportsBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -1.30%E -0.241%K -0.295%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.37%E -5.58%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.08%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-19 15:44
FanDuel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -1.30%E -0.241%K -0.295%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.37%E -5.58%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.08%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-19 15:44
1xBet🎯5.21I 19.19%NM 18.43%EV -4.77%E -0.916%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.15%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.43%EV -3.01%E -0.641%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-19 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.41%EV -7.70%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -7.15%E -4.70%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.43%EV -6.11%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-19 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -7.15%E -4.70%K -13.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-19 15:45
picklebet_au🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -8.37%E -5.58%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -9.20%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-19 15:45
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -17.46%E -4.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-19 15:54
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.54%E -4.27%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -17.46%E -4.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-19 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.54%E -4.27%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -17.46%E -4.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-19 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.54%E -4.27%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -17.46%E -4.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-19 15:55
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -12.04%E -8.36%K -27.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -9.20%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-19 15:44
Betclic (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.66%EV -14.09%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.47%EV -11.42%E -7.88%K -25.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-19 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.34%EV -14.09%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 61.14%EV -13.87%E -9.84%K -33.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.52%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-19 15:45
Sky Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 18.71%EV -15.92%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.77%EV -12.04%E -8.36%K -27.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -17.46%E -4.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-19 15:54
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -17.75%E -3.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -8.37%E -5.58%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -10.65%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-19 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -17.75%E -3.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.10%EV -10.81%E -7.41%K -23.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -11.27%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-19 15:44
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 19.68%EV -19.58%E -4.45%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 59.71%EV -11.42%E -7.88%K -25.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-19 15:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.