默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Excelsior v FC Twente Enschede

2026-11-01 13:30 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

胜负盘

19 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

18%

61%

21%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Excelsior (主队)

预测 18.28%5.47公平赔率

EV +0.528%

优势 +0.096%

Kelly +0.117%

增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 5.50

博彩公司预测分布

17.20%18.32%18.43%19.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

4.404.975.005.5022.73%20.11%20.00%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Twente Enschede (客队)

预测 61.09%1.64公平赔率

EV -4.09%

优势 -2.61%

Kelly -7.18%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.57

博彩公司预测分布

58.91%60.88%60.98%62.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.411.501.501.5770.92%66.78%66.67%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 20.64%4.85公平赔率

EV -1.98%

优势 -0.417%

Kelly -0.528%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.75

博彩公司预测分布

20.13%20.80%20.60%22.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

4.004.334.334.7525.00%23.08%23.09%21.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Excelsior (主队)：18.28%；FC Twente Enschede (客队)：61.09%；平局：20.64%。对于“Excelsior (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.47。有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为5.50，由此产生+0.528%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	平局	利润率	更新时间
Fanatics🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +0.528%E +0.096%K +0.117%G +0.001%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -6.54%E -4.27%K -12.34%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -1.98%E -0.417%K -0.528%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-10-19 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +0.528%E +0.096%K +0.117%G +0.001%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.24%EV -7.15%E -4.70%K -13.75%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -5.08%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-19 15:45
SportsBet🎯	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -1.30%E -0.241%K -0.295%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.37%E -5.58%K -16.74%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.08%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-19 15:44
FanDuel🎯	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -1.30%E -0.241%K -0.295%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -8.37%E -5.58%K -16.74%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -5.08%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-19 15:44
1xBet🎯	5.21I 19.19%NM 18.43%EV -4.77%E -0.916%K -1.13%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.15%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.43%EV -3.01%E -0.641%K -0.814%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-19 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯	5.05I 19.80%NM 18.41%EV -7.70%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -7.15%E -4.70%K -13.75%G +0.000%	4.55I 21.98%NM 20.43%EV -6.11%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-10-19 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -7.15%E -4.70%K -13.75%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-10-19 15:45
picklebet_au🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -8.37%E -5.58%K -16.74%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -9.20%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-10-19 15:45
William Hill🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.67%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -17.46%E -4.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-10-19 15:54
888sport🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.54%E -4.27%K -12.34%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -17.46%E -4.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-10-19 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.54%E -4.27%K -12.34%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -17.46%E -4.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-10-19 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.54%E -4.27%K -12.34%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -17.46%E -4.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-10-19 15:55
Paddy Power🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -8.61%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -12.04%E -8.36%K -27.35%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -9.20%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-10-19 15:44
Betclic (FR)🎯	4.70I 21.28%NM 18.66%EV -14.09%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 60.47%EV -11.42%E -7.88%K -25.39%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%	14.1%	2026-10-19 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯	4.70I 21.28%NM 18.34%EV -14.09%E -3.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 61.14%EV -13.87%E -9.84%K -33.82%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 20.52%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%	16.0%	2026-10-19 15:45
Sky Bet🎯	4.60I 21.74%NM 18.71%EV -15.92%E -3.46%K -4.42%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 59.77%EV -12.04%E -8.36%K -27.35%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -17.46%E -4.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%	16.2%	2026-10-19 15:54
BoyleSports🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -17.75%E -3.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -8.37%E -5.58%K -16.74%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -10.65%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%	12.0%	2026-10-19 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -17.75%E -3.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 60.10%EV -10.81%E -7.41%K -23.51%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -11.27%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%	14.0%	2026-10-19 15:44
Winamax (FR)🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 19.68%EV -19.58%E -4.45%K -5.76%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 59.71%EV -11.42%E -7.88%K -25.39%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%	15.5%	2026-10-19 15:45

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。