A Escola das Odds

AZ Alkmaar v Sparta Rotterdam

Início: 2026-02-22 15:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

AZ Alkmaar (Local)

Previsão 47.66%2.10odd justa
EV -0.869%
Vantagem -0.418%
Kelly -0.805%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.08%47.63%47.44%50.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.721.941.942.0858.14%51.61%51.55%48.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sparta Rotterdam (Visitante)

Previsão 26.88%3.72odd justa
EV +7.52%
Vantagem +1.88%
Kelly +2.51%
Crescimento +0.189%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.03%26.83%27.02%28.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.543.504.0032.26%28.25%28.57%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.46%3.93odd justa
EV -1.98%
Vantagem -0.514%
Kelly -0.695%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.73%25.54%25.54%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.613.603.8531.25%27.68%27.78%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.11%EV -7.54%E -3.89%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV +7.52%E +1.88%K +2.51%G +0.189%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -3.25%E -0.856%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-22 15:39
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%EV -7.54%E -3.89%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%EV +6.18%E +1.56%K +2.09%G +0.129%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.51%EV -3.25%E -0.856%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 15:40
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%EV -7.54%E -3.89%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%EV +6.18%E +1.56%K +2.09%G +0.129%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.51%EV -3.25%E -0.856%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 15:40
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -11.83%E -6.39%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV +4.84%E +1.24%K +1.67%G +0.081%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 14:55
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.69%EV -8.97%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV +3.49%E +0.907%K +1.23%G +0.043%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 15:39
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.83%EV -9.45%E -4.97%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV +3.49%E +0.907%K +1.23%G +0.043%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 15:40
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -10.40%E -5.53%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV +2.15%E +0.565%K +0.767%G +0.016%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -7.07%E -1.94%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:40
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -10.40%E -5.53%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV +2.15%E +0.565%K +0.767%G +0.016%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -7.07%E -1.94%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:40
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -10.40%E -5.53%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV +2.15%E +0.565%K +0.767%G +0.016%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -7.07%E -1.94%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:39
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -10.88%E -5.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV +2.15%E +0.565%K +0.767%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 15:39
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -10.88%E -5.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV +2.15%E +0.565%K +0.767%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -11.83%E -6.39%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV +0.804%E +0.214%K +0.292%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:39
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -5.63%E -2.85%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -0.271%E -0.073%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.16%EV -2.23%E -0.582%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 15:40
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.97%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -0.540%E -0.146%K -0.200%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 14:54
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.45%E -4.97%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -0.540%E -0.146%K -0.200%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 15:39
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -9.45%E -4.97%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -0.540%E -0.146%K -0.200%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 15:40
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -12.78%E -6.99%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -0.540%E -0.146%K -0.200%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.62%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 15:40
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -12.78%E -6.99%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -0.540%E -0.146%K -0.200%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.62%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 15:40
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.85%EV -1.35%E -0.650%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.65%EV -2.15%E -0.591%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.50%EV -6.82%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-22 15:40
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.23%E -0.897%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -1.98%E -0.514%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 15:00
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.73%E -1.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.23%E -0.897%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 15:40
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.73%E -1.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.23%E -0.897%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 15:40
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.97%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.23%E -0.897%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 15:00
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -9.45%E -4.97%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -3.23%E -0.897%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 15:00
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 15:29
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -8.97%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 15:00
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -3.25%E -0.856%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 15:39
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 15:40
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:20
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.88%E -5.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.89%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-22 15:40
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 15:40
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -3.73%E -1.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 15:40
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:30
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.89%EV -5.16%E -2.59%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -8.85%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 15:40
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.97%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -9.62%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 15:40
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 15:39
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 15:39
BetAnything2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 15:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:40
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:40
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:40
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:40
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.83%E -6.39%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-22 15:40
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.24%EV -11.83%E -6.39%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.48%EV -9.41%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.28%EV -10.13%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 15:39
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -0.869%E -0.418%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -9.95%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 15:40
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -0.869%E -0.418%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -9.95%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 15:40
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.16%EV -15.64%E -8.84%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.98%EV -9.95%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -10.89%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-22 15:39
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 15:40
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 15:40
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -8.49%E -4.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -7.07%E -1.94%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 15:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -10.40%E -5.53%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.89%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 15:40
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.77%EV -18.03%E -10.48%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.42%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -17.26%E -5.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%19.2%2026-02-22 15:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -12.78%E -6.99%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -18.53%E -5.79%K -8.42%G +0.000%16.7%2026-02-22 15:40
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -13.98%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.62%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 15:39
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.13%EV -11.35%E -6.10%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -15.32%E -4.86%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -10.89%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-22 15:39
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -16.67%E -5.38%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.89%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 15:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (2)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-02-22 15:40
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%2.1%2026-02-22 15:40