L’École des cotes

AZ Alkmaar v Sparta Rotterdam

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 15:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AZ Alkmaar (Local)

Prévision 47.66%2.10cote équitable
EV -0.869%
Avantage -0.418%
Kelly -0.805%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.08%47.63%47.44%50.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.941.942.0858.14%51.61%51.55%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sparta Rotterdam (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.88%3.72cote équitable
EV +7.52%
Avantage +1.88%
Kelly +2.51%
Croissance +0.189%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.03%26.83%27.02%28.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.543.504.0032.26%28.25%28.57%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.46%3.93cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -0.514%
Kelly -0.695%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.73%25.54%25.54%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.613.603.8531.25%27.68%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.11%EV -7.54%E -3.89%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%EV +7.52%E +1.88%K +2.51%G +0.189%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -3.25%E -0.856%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-22 15:39
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%EV -7.54%E -3.89%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%EV +6.18%E +1.56%K +2.09%G +0.129%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.51%EV -3.25%E -0.856%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 15:40
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%EV -7.54%E -3.89%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%EV +6.18%E +1.56%K +2.09%G +0.129%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.51%EV -3.25%E -0.856%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 15:40
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -11.83%E -6.39%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV +4.84%E +1.24%K +1.67%G +0.081%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 14:55
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.69%EV -8.97%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV +3.49%E +0.907%K +1.23%G +0.043%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 15:39
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.83%EV -9.45%E -4.97%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV +3.49%E +0.907%K +1.23%G +0.043%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 15:40
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -10.40%E -5.53%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV +2.15%E +0.565%K +0.767%G +0.016%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -7.07%E -1.94%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:40
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -10.40%E -5.53%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV +2.15%E +0.565%K +0.767%G +0.016%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -7.07%E -1.94%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:40
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.76%EV -10.40%E -5.53%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV +2.15%E +0.565%K +0.767%G +0.016%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -7.07%E -1.94%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:39
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -10.88%E -5.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV +2.15%E +0.565%K +0.767%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 15:39
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -10.88%E -5.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV +2.15%E +0.565%K +0.767%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -11.83%E -6.39%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV +0.804%E +0.214%K +0.292%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:39
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -5.63%E -2.85%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.04%EV -0.271%E -0.073%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.16%EV -2.23%E -0.582%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 15:40
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.97%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -0.540%E -0.146%K -0.200%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 14:54
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.45%E -4.97%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -0.540%E -0.146%K -0.200%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 15:39
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -9.45%E -4.97%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -0.540%E -0.146%K -0.200%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 15:40
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -12.78%E -6.99%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -0.540%E -0.146%K -0.200%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.62%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 15:40
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.75%EV -12.78%E -6.99%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -0.540%E -0.146%K -0.200%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.62%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 15:40
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.85%EV -1.35%E -0.650%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.65%EV -2.15%E -0.591%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.50%EV -6.82%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-22 15:40
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.23%E -0.897%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -1.98%E -0.514%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 15:00
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.73%E -1.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.23%E -0.897%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 15:40
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.73%E -1.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.23%E -0.897%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 15:40
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.97%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.23%E -0.897%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 15:00
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -9.45%E -4.97%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -3.23%E -0.897%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 15:00
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 15:29
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -8.97%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 15:00
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -3.25%E -0.856%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 15:39
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 15:40
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:20
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.88%E -5.82%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.89%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-22 15:40
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 15:40
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -3.73%E -1.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 15:40
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:30
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.89%EV -5.16%E -2.59%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -8.85%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 15:40
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.97%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -9.62%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 15:40
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 15:39
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 15:39
BetAnything2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -2.78%E -1.36%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 15:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:40
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:40
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:40
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:40
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.83%E -6.39%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-22 15:40
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.24%EV -11.83%E -6.39%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.48%EV -9.41%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.28%EV -10.13%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 15:39
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -0.869%E -0.418%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -9.95%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 15:40
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -0.869%E -0.418%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -9.95%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 15:40
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.16%EV -15.64%E -8.84%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.98%EV -9.95%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -10.89%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-22 15:39
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.80%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 15:40
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.34%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 15:40
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -8.49%E -4.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -7.07%E -1.94%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 15:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -10.40%E -5.53%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.89%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 15:40
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.77%EV -18.03%E -10.48%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.42%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -17.26%E -5.31%K -7.67%G +0.000%19.2%2026-02-22 15:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -12.78%E -6.99%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -18.53%E -5.79%K -8.42%G +0.000%16.7%2026-02-22 15:40
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -2.30%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -13.98%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.62%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 15:39
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.13%EV -11.35%E -6.10%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -15.32%E -4.86%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -10.89%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-22 15:39
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -16.67%E -5.38%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.89%E -3.11%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 15:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-02-22 15:40
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%2.1%2026-02-22 15:40