默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

AZ Alkmaar v SC Telstar

开赛时间: 2026-09-20 12:30 UTC

最终结果: AZ Alkmaar 1–0 SC Telstar

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

55 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

AZ Alkmaar (主队)

预测 74.82%1.34公平赔率
EV -3.49%
优势 -2.70%
Kelly -12.02%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.29

博彩公司预测分布
73.24%74.79%74.76%76.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.191.241.251.2984.03%80.37%80.00%77.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

SC Telstar (客队)

预测 10.22%9.79公平赔率
EV +18.53%
优势 +1.60%
Kelly +1.75%
增长率 +0.324%

假设最高赔率为 11.60

博彩公司预测分布
8.24%10.17%10.27%11.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.759.359.2011.6012.90%10.70%10.87%8.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 14.97%6.68公平赔率
EV +1.01%
优势 +0.150%
Kelly +0.176%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 6.75

博彩公司预测分布
14.25%15.04%14.97%16.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.166.206.7518.18%16.24%16.13%14.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:AZ Alkmaar (主队):74.82%;SC Telstar (客队):10.22%;平局:14.97%。 对于“SC Telstar (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.79。 当时有14家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为11.60,对应+18.53%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (55 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.88%EV -5.73%E -4.55%K -22.04%G +0.000%11.60I 8.62%NM 8.24%EV +18.53%E +1.60%K +1.75%G +0.324%6.02I 16.61%NM 15.88%EV -9.91%E -1.65%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 12:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.85%EV -5.73%E -4.55%K -22.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.80%EV +12.40%E +1.13%K +1.24%G +0.154%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV +1.01%E +0.150%K +0.176%G +0.002%3.3%2026-09-20 11:44
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.57%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV +12.40%E +1.13%K +1.24%G +0.154%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 12:22
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.57%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV +12.40%E +1.13%K +1.24%G +0.154%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 12:22
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.11%EV -5.73%E -4.55%K -22.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +7.29%E +0.694%K +0.768%G +0.056%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 11:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.11%EV -5.73%E -4.55%K -22.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +7.29%E +0.694%K +0.768%G +0.056%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 11:44
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.42%EV -4.98%E -3.92%K -18.45%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +7.29%E +0.694%K +0.768%G +0.056%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.58%EV -14.70%E -2.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.55%EV -7.98%E -6.48%K -34.68%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +7.29%E +0.694%K +0.768%G +0.056%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 12:24
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.36%EV -5.73%E -4.55%K -22.04%G +0.000%10.41I 9.61%NM 9.00%EV +6.37%E +0.612%K +0.677%G +0.043%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.64%EV -15.75%E -2.80%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 12:07
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -5.73%E -4.55%K -22.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV +2.18%E +0.218%K +0.243%G +0.005%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 11:39
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.74%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV +2.18%E +0.218%K +0.243%G +0.005%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV -4.22%E -0.660%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 11:44
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV +2.18%E +0.218%K +0.243%G +0.005%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -13.95%E -2.43%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 12:09
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.98%E -6.48%K -34.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +2.18%E +0.218%K +0.243%G +0.005%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -10.21%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 11:59
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.50%EV -4.98%E -3.92%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.91I 10.09%NM 9.68%EV +1.26%E +0.127%K +0.142%G +0.002%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.82%EV -3.18%E -0.491%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.73%EV -4.98%E -3.92%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.02%EV -1.90%E -0.198%K -0.221%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.25%EV +1.01%E +0.150%K +0.176%G +0.002%4.0%2026-09-20 12:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.73%EV -4.98%E -3.92%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.02%EV -1.90%E -0.198%K -0.221%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.25%EV +1.01%E +0.150%K +0.176%G +0.002%4.0%2026-09-20 12:09
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.73%EV -4.98%E -3.92%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.02%EV -1.90%E -0.198%K -0.221%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.25%EV +1.01%E +0.150%K +0.176%G +0.002%4.0%2026-09-20 12:09
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.73%EV -4.98%E -3.92%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.02%EV -1.90%E -0.198%K -0.221%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.25%EV +1.01%E +0.150%K +0.176%G +0.002%4.0%2026-09-20 12:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.344%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 12:23
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.344%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -7.23%E -5.83%K -30.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.344%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -6.47%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 11:44
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -7.23%E -5.83%K -30.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.344%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -6.47%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 11:44
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -7.23%E -5.83%K -30.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.344%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -6.47%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 11:44
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.97%EV -7.23%E -5.83%K -30.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.344%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV -8.71%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 11:44
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -8.72%E -7.15%K -39.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.344%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.21%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 12:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.99%EV -7.23%E -5.83%K -30.11%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.89%EV -3.95%E -0.420%K -0.470%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.12%EV -7.96%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 12:05
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.75%EV -5.73%E -4.55%K -22.04%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV -5.48%E -0.593%K -0.664%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.07%EV -6.47%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 12:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.97%EV -5.73%E -4.55%K -22.04%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.27%EV -5.99%E -0.651%K -0.731%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.76%EV -4.22%E -0.660%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 12:24
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.97%EV -5.73%E -4.55%K -22.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 12:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.69%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -6.47%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 11:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -7.22%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 12:04
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -10.21%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 12:03
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -7.23%E -5.83%K -30.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.21%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 12:04
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -7.98%E -6.48%K -34.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -13.20%E -2.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 11:45
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.30%EV -8.72%E -7.15%K -39.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -13.20%E -2.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 11:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.30%EV -8.72%E -7.15%K -39.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -13.20%E -2.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 11:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.30%EV -8.72%E -7.15%K -39.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -13.20%E -2.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 11:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.30%EV -8.72%E -7.15%K -39.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -13.20%E -2.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.46%EV -9.47%E -7.83%K -45.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.01%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.20%E -2.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 11:44
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -10.22%E -8.52%K -51.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -17.69%E -3.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 12:00
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -3.49%E -2.70%K -12.02%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.95%EV -10.59%E -1.21%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.56%EV -10.97%E -9.22%K -57.73%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.14%EV -10.59%E -1.21%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.30%EV -13.20%E -2.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 12:15
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.21%EV -4.23%E -3.31%K -15.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.21%EV -4.23%E -3.31%K -15.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 12:19
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.39%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -13.20%E -2.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 12:04
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -7.23%E -5.83%K -30.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -10.21%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 11:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -13.95%E -2.43%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 12:04
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -13.95%E -2.43%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -13.95%E -2.43%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 12:05
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -8.72%E -7.15%K -39.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.21%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 12:14
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -8.72%E -7.15%K -39.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -17.69%E -3.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.37%EV -10.22%E -8.52%K -51.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.50%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.13%EV -11.71%E -1.98%K -2.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 12:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -9.47%E -7.83%K -45.10%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 10.79%EV -15.19%E -1.83%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -11.71%E -1.98%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 12:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.04%EV -7.98%E -6.48%K -34.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -18.25%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -6.47%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 12:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.93%EV -8.72%E -7.15%K -39.65%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.64%EV -20.81%E -2.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.43%EV -6.47%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 12:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.47%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-09-20 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.47%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-09-20 12:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.47%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-09-20 12:15
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.47%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-09-20 12:20
Smarkets◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.18%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89%1.8%2026-09-20 12:15
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 76.50%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.81%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68%2.1%2026-09-20 12:15