StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

AZ Alkmaar v SC Telstar

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-20 12:30 UTC

Endstand: AZ Alkmaar 1–0 SC Telstar

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

AZ Alkmaar (Heim)

Prognose 74.82%1.34faire Quote
EV -3.49%
Vorteil -2.70%
Kelly -12.02%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.29

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
73.24%74.79%74.76%76.85%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.191.241.251.2984.03%80.37%80.00%77.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

SC Telstar (Auswärts)

Prognose 10.22%9.79faire Quote
EV +18.53%
Vorteil +1.60%
Kelly +1.75%
Wachstum +0.324%

bei einer Höchstquote von 11.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
8.24%10.17%10.27%11.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.759.359.2011.6012.90%10.70%10.87%8.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 14.97%6.68faire Quote
EV +1.01%
Vorteil +0.150%
Kelly +0.176%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.25%15.04%14.97%16.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.506.166.206.7518.18%16.24%16.13%14.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: AZ Alkmaar (Heim): 74.82%; SC Telstar (Auswärts): 10.22%; Unentschieden: 14.97%. Für SC Telstar (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 9.79. 14 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 11.60 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +18.53%.

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.88%EV -5.73%E -4.55%K -22.04%G +0.000%11.60I 8.62%NM 8.24%EV +18.53%E +1.60%K +1.75%G +0.324%6.02I 16.61%NM 15.88%EV -9.91%E -1.65%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 12:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.85%EV -5.73%E -4.55%K -22.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.80%EV +12.40%E +1.13%K +1.24%G +0.154%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV +1.01%E +0.150%K +0.176%G +0.002%3.3%2026-09-20 11:44
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.57%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV +12.40%E +1.13%K +1.24%G +0.154%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 12:22
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.57%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV +12.40%E +1.13%K +1.24%G +0.154%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.73%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 12:22
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.11%EV -5.73%E -4.55%K -22.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +7.29%E +0.694%K +0.768%G +0.056%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 11:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.11%EV -5.73%E -4.55%K -22.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +7.29%E +0.694%K +0.768%G +0.056%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 11:44
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.42%EV -4.98%E -3.92%K -18.45%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +7.29%E +0.694%K +0.768%G +0.056%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.58%EV -14.70%E -2.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.55%EV -7.98%E -6.48%K -34.68%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +7.29%E +0.694%K +0.768%G +0.056%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 12:24
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.36%EV -5.73%E -4.55%K -22.04%G +0.000%10.41I 9.61%NM 9.00%EV +6.37%E +0.612%K +0.677%G +0.043%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.64%EV -15.75%E -2.80%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 12:07
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -5.73%E -4.55%K -22.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV +2.18%E +0.218%K +0.243%G +0.005%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 11:39
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.74%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV +2.18%E +0.218%K +0.243%G +0.005%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV -4.22%E -0.660%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 11:44
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV +2.18%E +0.218%K +0.243%G +0.005%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -13.95%E -2.43%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 12:09
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.98%E -6.48%K -34.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +2.18%E +0.218%K +0.243%G +0.005%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -10.21%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 11:59
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.50%EV -4.98%E -3.92%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.91I 10.09%NM 9.68%EV +1.26%E +0.127%K +0.142%G +0.002%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.82%EV -3.18%E -0.491%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.73%EV -4.98%E -3.92%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.02%EV -1.90%E -0.198%K -0.221%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.25%EV +1.01%E +0.150%K +0.176%G +0.002%4.0%2026-09-20 12:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.73%EV -4.98%E -3.92%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.02%EV -1.90%E -0.198%K -0.221%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.25%EV +1.01%E +0.150%K +0.176%G +0.002%4.0%2026-09-20 12:09
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.73%EV -4.98%E -3.92%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.02%EV -1.90%E -0.198%K -0.221%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.25%EV +1.01%E +0.150%K +0.176%G +0.002%4.0%2026-09-20 12:09
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.73%EV -4.98%E -3.92%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.02%EV -1.90%E -0.198%K -0.221%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.25%EV +1.01%E +0.150%K +0.176%G +0.002%4.0%2026-09-20 12:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.344%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 12:23
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.344%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -7.23%E -5.83%K -30.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.344%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -6.47%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 11:44
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -7.23%E -5.83%K -30.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.344%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -6.47%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 11:44
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.25%EV -7.23%E -5.83%K -30.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.344%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -6.47%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 11:44
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.97%EV -7.23%E -5.83%K -30.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.344%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV -8.71%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 11:44
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -8.72%E -7.15%K -39.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -2.93%E -0.308%K -0.344%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.21%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 12:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.99%EV -7.23%E -5.83%K -30.11%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.89%EV -3.95%E -0.420%K -0.470%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.12%EV -7.96%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 12:05
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.75%EV -5.73%E -4.55%K -22.04%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV -5.48%E -0.593%K -0.664%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.07%EV -6.47%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 12:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.97%EV -5.73%E -4.55%K -22.04%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.27%EV -5.99%E -0.651%K -0.731%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.76%EV -4.22%E -0.660%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 12:24
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.97%EV -5.73%E -4.55%K -22.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 12:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.69%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -6.47%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 11:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -7.22%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 12:04
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -10.21%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 12:03
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -7.23%E -5.83%K -30.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.21%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 12:04
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -7.98%E -6.48%K -34.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -13.20%E -2.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 11:45
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.30%EV -8.72%E -7.15%K -39.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -13.20%E -2.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 11:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.30%EV -8.72%E -7.15%K -39.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -13.20%E -2.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 11:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.30%EV -8.72%E -7.15%K -39.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -13.20%E -2.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 11:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.30%EV -8.72%E -7.15%K -39.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -13.20%E -2.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.46%EV -9.47%E -7.83%K -45.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.01%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.53%EV -13.20%E -2.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 11:44
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -10.22%E -8.52%K -51.10%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -8.04%E -0.893%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -17.69%E -3.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 12:00
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -3.49%E -2.70%K -12.02%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.95%EV -10.59%E -1.21%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.56%EV -10.97%E -9.22%K -57.73%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.14%EV -10.59%E -1.21%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.30%EV -13.20%E -2.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 12:15
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.21%EV -4.23%E -3.31%K -15.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.21%EV -4.23%E -3.31%K -15.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -2.73%E -0.420%K -0.496%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 12:19
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.39%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -13.20%E -2.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 12:04
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -7.23%E -5.83%K -30.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -10.21%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 11:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -13.95%E -2.43%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 12:04
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -13.95%E -2.43%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -6.48%E -5.18%K -25.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -13.95%E -2.43%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 12:05
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -8.72%E -7.15%K -39.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.21%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 12:14
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -8.72%E -7.15%K -39.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -17.69%E -3.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.37%EV -10.22%E -8.52%K -51.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.50%EV -13.14%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.13%EV -11.71%E -1.98%K -2.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 12:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -9.47%E -7.83%K -45.10%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 10.79%EV -15.19%E -1.83%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -11.71%E -1.98%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 12:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.04%EV -7.98%E -6.48%K -34.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -18.25%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -6.47%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 12:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.93%EV -8.72%E -7.15%K -39.65%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.64%EV -20.81%E -2.68%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.43%EV -6.47%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 12:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.47%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-09-20 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.47%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-09-20 12:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.47%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-09-20 12:15
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.47%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.58%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-09-20 12:20
Smarkets◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.18%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89%1.8%2026-09-20 12:15
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 76.50%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.81%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68%2.1%2026-09-20 12:15