La scuola delle quote

AZ Alkmaar v FC Twente Enschede

Inizio: 2026-05-03 14:45 UTC

Finale: AZ Alkmaar 2–2 FC Twente Enschede

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

AZ Alkmaar (Casa)

Previsione 41.55%2.41quota equa
EV -1.10%
Vantaggio -0.462%
Kelly -0.797%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.72%41.60%41.55%43.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.252.252.3847.62%44.37%44.44%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Twente Enschede (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.53%2.98quota equa
EV -0.417%
Vantaggio -0.141%
Kelly -0.212%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.24%33.52%33.58%34.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.762.752.9740.00%36.19%36.36%33.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.92%4.01quota equa
EV +2.15%
Vantaggio +0.525%
Kelly +0.695%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.65%24.88%24.87%26.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.723.734.1032.26%26.88%26.81%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.69%EV -7.75%E -3.49%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.66%EV -0.417%E -0.141%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.66%EV +2.15%E +0.525%K +0.695%G +0.015%3.1%2026-05-03 14:40
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.52%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -0.337%E -0.084%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 14:40
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.12%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -0.337%E -0.084%K -0.112%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 14:23
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.02%EV -1.10%E -0.462%K -0.797%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.26%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72%EV -1.58%E -0.401%K -0.537%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 14:31
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.89%EV -1.10%E -0.462%K -0.797%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.15%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.96%EV -2.83%E -0.725%K -0.975%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-03 14:31
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.89%EV -1.10%E -0.462%K -0.797%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.15%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.96%EV -2.83%E -0.725%K -0.975%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-03 14:31
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -2.83%E -0.725%K -0.975%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 14:35
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -4.07%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 14:20
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.22%EV -2.35%E -0.998%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.29%EV -2.43%E -0.835%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 14:40
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.89%EV -3.18%E -1.36%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -6.12%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 14:31
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -6.12%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:20
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.75%EV -3.59%E -1.55%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 14:31
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 14:35
Codere (IT)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.42%EV -5.26%E -2.30%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -6.12%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 14:25
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 14:00
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:35
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.12%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 14:20
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:31
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:31
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:01
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -5.26%E -2.30%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 14:30
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -5.26%E -2.30%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 14:31
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:35
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:40
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 14:35
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.73%E -6.06%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -12.82%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -6.57%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 14:19
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.30%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.31%EV -8.46%E -3.10%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.38%EV -7.06%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 14:26
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.93%EV -6.09%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.45%EV -2.09%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:20
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.93%EV -6.09%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.45%EV -2.09%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:20
BetAnything2.26I 44.25%NM 41.93%EV -6.09%E -2.69%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.45%EV -2.09%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:20
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -3.59%E -1.55%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.58%EV -5.45%E -1.93%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 14:40
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -3.59%E -1.55%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.58%EV -5.45%E -1.93%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 14:40
Bovada2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%EV -2.76%E -1.18%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.35%EV -8.13%E -2.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:40
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 14:20
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.76%E -0.953%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 14:19
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.12%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:20
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 14:31
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 14:40
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 14:21
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -12.82%E -4.93%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 14:20
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -6.12%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 14:40
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -6.12%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 14:40
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -7.33%E -3.29%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 14:31
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -7.33%E -3.29%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 14:30
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -7.33%E -3.29%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -9.06%E -2.48%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 14:31
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.08%EV -5.67%E -2.50%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.12%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -9.31%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:38
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -11.55%E -3.25%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 14:40
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.95%EV -12.73%E -6.06%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.24%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -11.55%E -3.25%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-03 14:35
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -12.79%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 14:35
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -12.79%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 14:35
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.50%E -2.89%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -12.79%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 14:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.58%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.79%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 14:20
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -15.29%E -4.50%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-03 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.72%EV -12.73%E -6.06%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.37%EV -16.18%E -6.47%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.91%EV -22.76%E -7.34%K -10.84%G +0.000%19.9%2026-05-03 14:23
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.24%0.3%2026-05-03 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-05-03 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-05-03 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-05-03 14:35
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.72%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-05-03 14:41
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 41.32%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.67%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%3.9%2026-05-03 14:20