Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.13
ipotizzando la quota massima 24.00
ipotizzando la quota massima 12.00
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ajax (Casa): 85.12%; Willem II (Trasferta): 5.37%; Pareggio: 9.51%. Per Willem II (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 18.62. 27 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 24.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +28.91%.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.30%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.94%EV +28.91%E +1.20%K +1.26%G +0.363% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.76%EV -16.30%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 17:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.30%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.94%EV +28.91%E +1.20%K +1.26%G +0.363% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.76%EV -16.30%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.02%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.20%EV +23.54%E +1.02%K +1.07%G +0.252% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.78%EV +4.63%E +0.420%K +0.463%G +0.021% | 3.5% | 2026-09-15 17:56 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.02%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.20%EV +23.54%E +1.02%K +1.07%G +0.252% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.78%EV +4.63%E +0.420%K +0.463%G +0.021% | 3.5% | 2026-09-15 17:56 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.02%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.20%EV +23.54%E +1.02%K +1.07%G +0.252% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.78%EV +4.63%E +0.420%K +0.463%G +0.021% | 3.5% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.95%EV -8.07%E -7.48%K -100.91%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV +23.54%E +1.02%K +1.07%G +0.252% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +14.14%E +1.18%K +1.29%G +0.182% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 17:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.95%EV -8.07%E -7.48%K -100.91%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV +23.54%E +1.02%K +1.07%G +0.252% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +14.14%E +1.18%K +1.29%G +0.182% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.94%EV -6.37%E -5.79%K -63.71%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV +23.54%E +1.02%K +1.07%G +0.252% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -19.15%E -2.25%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.34%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.36%EV +18.17%E +0.826%K +0.865%G +0.157% | 10.30I 9.71%NM 9.30%EV -2.03%E -0.197%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-15 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.27%EV -8.92%E -8.34%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +18.17%E +0.826%K +0.865%G +0.157% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +4.63%E +0.420%K +0.463%G +0.021% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 17:56 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.37%E -5.79%K -63.71%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV +12.79%E +0.609%K +0.640%G +0.082% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.05%EV -0.131%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.07%E -7.48%K -100.91%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +12.79%E +0.609%K +0.640%G +0.082% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.131%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 17:56 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.94%EV -8.92%E -8.34%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV +12.79%E +0.609%K +0.640%G +0.082% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -9.64%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 17:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.04%EV +2.05%E +0.108%K +0.114%G +0.002% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV +4.63%E +0.420%K +0.463%G +0.021% | 4.4% | 2026-09-15 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.04%EV +2.05%E +0.108%K +0.114%G +0.002% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV +4.63%E +0.420%K +0.463%G +0.021% | 4.4% | 2026-09-15 17:46 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.04%EV +2.05%E +0.108%K +0.114%G +0.002% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV +4.63%E +0.420%K +0.463%G +0.021% | 4.4% | 2026-09-15 17:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.26%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.04%EV +2.05%E +0.108%K +0.114%G +0.002% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.70%EV +4.63%E +0.420%K +0.463%G +0.021% | 4.4% | 2026-09-15 17:46 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +2.05%E +0.108%K +0.114%G +0.002% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -9.64%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +2.05%E +0.108%K +0.114%G +0.002% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -9.64%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +2.05%E +0.108%K +0.114%G +0.002% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -9.64%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +2.05%E +0.108%K +0.114%G +0.002% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -9.64%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -6.37%E -5.79%K -63.71%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV +2.05%E +0.108%K +0.114%G +0.002% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -9.64%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-15 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.74%EV -7.22%E -6.63%K -80.24%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.92%EV +2.05%E +0.108%K +0.114%G +0.002% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -4.89%E -0.489%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 17:56 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.74%EV -7.22%E -6.63%K -80.24%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.92%EV +2.05%E +0.108%K +0.114%G +0.002% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -4.89%E -0.489%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 17:56 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.74%EV -7.22%E -6.63%K -80.24%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.92%EV +2.05%E +0.108%K +0.114%G +0.002% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -4.89%E -0.489%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.66%EV -9.78%E -9.22%K -162.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.78%EV +2.05%E +0.108%K +0.114%G +0.002% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -9.64%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.66%EV -9.78%E -9.22%K -162.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.78%EV +2.05%E +0.108%K +0.114%G +0.002% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.56%EV -9.64%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.87%EV -8.07%E -7.48%K -100.91%G +0.000% | 18.25I 5.48%NM 5.08%EV -1.98%E -0.108%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.05%EV -2.51%E -0.245%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 17:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.42%EV -3.82%E -3.38%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 18.05I 5.54%NM 5.35%EV -3.05%E -0.169%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 10.46I 9.56%NM 9.23%EV -0.511%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-15 17:56 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.16%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.30%EV -3.32%E -0.184%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -4.89%E -0.489%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-15 17:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.51%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.26%EV -3.32%E -0.184%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.23%EV -12.02%E -1.30%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-15 17:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.11%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV -3.32%E -0.184%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.64%EV -6.79%E -0.693%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 17:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.09%EV -7.22%E -6.63%K -80.24%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.15%EV -3.32%E -0.184%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -9.64%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.17%EV -3.82%E -3.38%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -8.69%E -0.511%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -0.131%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-15 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.90%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.59%EV -8.69%E -0.511%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -4.89%E -0.489%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.90%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.59%EV -8.69%E -0.511%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -4.89%E -0.489%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.01%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV -8.69%E -0.511%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -4.89%E -0.489%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.13%EV -6.37%E -5.79%K -63.71%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV -8.69%E -0.511%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -4.89%E -0.489%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 17:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.49%EV -8.07%E -7.48%K -100.91%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV -8.69%E -0.511%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -14.40%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.49%EV -8.07%E -7.48%K -100.91%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV -8.69%E -0.511%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -14.40%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.49%EV -8.07%E -7.48%K -100.91%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV -8.69%E -0.511%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -14.40%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-15 17:56 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.49%EV -8.07%E -7.48%K -100.91%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV -8.69%E -0.511%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -14.40%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.61%EV -8.92%E -8.34%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.33%EV -8.69%E -0.511%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -14.40%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.45%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.93%EV -14.06%E -0.879%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.62%EV +4.63%E +0.420%K +0.463%G +0.021% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.46%EV -6.37%E -5.79%K -63.71%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -14.06%E -0.879%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -19.15%E -2.25%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 17:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.89%EV -9.78%E -9.22%K -162.92%G +0.000% | 15.75I 6.35%NM 5.65%EV -15.40%E -0.978%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -19.15%E -2.25%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-15 17:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.07%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -19.43%E -1.30%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.66%EV -7.26%E -0.745%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-15 17:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -19.43%E -1.30%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -4.89%E -0.489%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.18%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -19.43%E -1.30%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -14.40%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-15 17:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -6.37%E -5.79%K -63.71%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -19.43%E -1.30%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -19.15%E -2.25%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-15 17:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -6.37%E -5.79%K -63.71%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -19.43%E -1.30%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -19.15%E -2.25%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-15 17:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.66%EV -9.78%E -9.22%K -162.92%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -19.43%E -1.30%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -19.15%E -2.25%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 84.27%EV -10.63%E -10.12%K -212.53%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.90%EV -19.43%E -1.30%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -14.40%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.98%EV -8.07%E -7.48%K -100.91%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.48%EV -24.80%E -1.77%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -9.64%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-15 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 82.63%EV -8.92%E -8.34%K -127.49%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.32%EV -24.80%E -1.77%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -23.91%E -2.99%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-15 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.77%EV -8.07%E -7.48%K -100.91%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.70%EV -27.49%E -2.04%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -9.64%E -1.01%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-15 17:50 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.74% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 17:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.74% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 17:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.74% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 0.6% | 2026-09-15 17:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.44% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.30% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 17:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.02% | 28.99I 3.45%NM 3.40% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.58% | 1.4% | 2026-09-15 17:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.91% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.80% | 2.3% | 2026-09-15 16:35 |