Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

ADO Den Haag v SC Cambuur

2026-09-19 14:30 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

ADO Den Haag (Local)

Prediction 55.95%1.79fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -6.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.29%55.88%55.82%56.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.641.661.7164.10%60.89%60.24%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Cambuur (Visit)

Prediction 20.96%4.77fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -0.876%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.61%21.06%20.93%22.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.274.334.5826.32%23.40%23.09%21.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.09%4.33fair odd
EV -0.700%
Edge -0.163%
Kelly -0.212%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.77%23.06%23.24%24.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.973.854.3027.40%25.19%25.97%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: ADO Den Haag (Local): 55.95%; SC Cambuur (Visit): 20.96%; Draw: 23.09%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.30, with an expected value of -0.700%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.07%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.94%EV -4.01%E -0.876%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.99%EV -3.70%E -0.888%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.54%EV -5.45%E -3.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -5.69%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%EV -0.700%E -0.163%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.42%EV -6.01%E -3.57%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -7.79%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -0.700%E -0.163%K -0.212%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 18:05
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -9.88%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.700%E -0.163%K -0.212%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 18:03
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -9.25%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -12.25%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 18:25
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -9.25%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -12.25%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -9.25%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -12.25%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -9.25%E -2.14%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -12.25%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.12%E -4.29%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -9.88%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -0.700%E -0.163%K -0.212%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 18:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.89%EV -7.12%E -4.29%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.69%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -8.78%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.68%E -4.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -5.69%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.63%E -1.91%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 18:04
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -3.01%E -0.717%K -0.941%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 18:05
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.29%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -20.36%E -5.36%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -12.25%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-06 18:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.56%EV -11.60%E -7.34%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.90%EV -11.98%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.54%EV -13.86%E -3.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.39%EV -11.60%E -7.34%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.88%EV -16.17%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.73%EV -11.09%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 18:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.00%EV -11.60%E -7.34%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.19%EV -14.07%E -3.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.81%EV -15.71%E -4.30%K -5.93%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-06 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.22%EV -12.72%E -8.15%K -22.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.81%EV -17.22%E -4.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -13.40%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-06 18:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.