Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.03
assuming max odds 3.75
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: ADO Den Haag (Local): 48.08%; SC Cambuur (Visit): 27.30%; Draw: 24.62%. For SC Cambuur (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.38%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.38%EV -5.76%E -2.94%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV +2.38%E +0.635%K +0.866%G +0.021% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-19 14:16 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.30%EV -6.72%E -3.46%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.02%E +0.275%K +0.377%G +0.004% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.84%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-19 14:16 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.30%EV -6.72%E -3.46%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.02%E +0.275%K +0.377%G +0.004% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.84%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-19 14:16 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -10.09%E -5.39%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.02%E +0.275%K +0.377%G +0.004% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.23%EV +0.471%E +0.128%K +0.176%G +0.001% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.26%EV -2.03%E -0.510%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 14:16 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -7.20%E -3.73%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.71%E -0.476%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 14:16 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -1.71%E -0.476%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-19 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.89%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -3.08%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.89%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -3.08%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.89%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -3.08%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.89%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -3.08%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -3.08%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -3.08%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 14:16 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -3.08%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 14:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.54%E -0.385%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 14:21 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.69%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 14:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -7.68%E -4.00%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.69%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 14:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.46%EV -8.64%E -4.55%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -10.15%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 14:16 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.42%EV -7.68%E -4.00%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.72%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.86%EV -7.94%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 14:11 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.34%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.70%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 14:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.31%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.68%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.01%EV -5.48%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.75%EV -2.87%E -1.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.81%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -10.15%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.81%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.60%E -5.11%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -5.81%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-19 14:16 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -10.09%E -5.39%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -5.81%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 14:16 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -10.09%E -5.39%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -5.81%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 14:16 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -10.09%E -5.39%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -5.81%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 14:16 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -10.09%E -5.39%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -5.81%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 14:16 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.53%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.42%EV -6.90%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.05%EV -11.63%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -1.54%E -0.385%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-19 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.70%EV -4.80%E -2.42%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 14:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -4.80%E -2.42%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 14:06 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-19 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -10.09%E -5.39%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-19 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.42%EV -11.05%E -5.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -12.62%E -3.55%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-19 14:16 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -8.54%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-19 14:21 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -3.83%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -1.54%E -0.385%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -3.83%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -3.83%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -3.83%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.69%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.00%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -12.01%E -6.56%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-19 14:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -11.05%E -5.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-19 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -11.05%E -5.97%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.85%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-19 14:06 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.48%EV -11.53%E -6.27%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.28%EV -10.72%E -3.28%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.24%EV -9.42%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-19 14:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.71%EV -7.68%E -4.00%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.27%E -3.47%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-19 14:02 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.27%E -3.47%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.69%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.91%EV -8.64%E -4.55%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-19 14:06 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -9.60%E -5.11%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-19 14:06 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -13.45%E -7.47%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-19 14:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 0.5% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 0.5% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 14:16 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59% | 1.7% | 2026-09-19 14:16 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.0% | 2026-09-19 14:11 |