Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

ADO Den Haag v SC Cambuur

Início: 2026-09-19 14:30 UTC

Final: ADO Den Haag 1–1 SC Cambuur

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

ADO Den Haag (Local)

Previsão 48.08%2.08odd justa
EV -2.39%
Vantagem -1.18%
Kelly -2.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.53%48.14%48.12%50.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.931.942.0355.56%51.75%51.55%49.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SC Cambuur (Visitante)

Previsão 27.30%3.66odd justa
EV +2.38%
Vantagem +0.635%
Kelly +0.866%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.30%27.26%27.23%28.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.443.453.7531.25%29.07%28.99%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.62%4.06odd justa
EV -1.54%
Vantagem -0.385%
Kelly -0.513%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.26%24.60%24.64%26.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.753.804.0028.57%26.65%26.32%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: ADO Den Haag (Local): 48.08%; SC Cambuur (Visitante): 27.30%; Empate: 24.62%. Para SC Cambuur (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.66. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.38%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.38%EV -5.76%E -2.94%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV +2.38%E +0.635%K +0.866%G +0.021%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82%EV -4.00%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-19 14:16
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.30%EV -6.72%E -3.46%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.02%E +0.275%K +0.377%G +0.004%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.84%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 14:16
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.30%EV -6.72%E -3.46%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.02%E +0.275%K +0.377%G +0.004%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.84%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 14:16
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -10.09%E -5.39%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.02%E +0.275%K +0.377%G +0.004%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:26
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.23%EV +0.471%E +0.128%K +0.176%G +0.001%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.26%EV -2.03%E -0.510%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 14:16
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -7.20%E -3.73%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.71%E -0.476%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:16
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -1.71%E -0.476%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.89%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -3.08%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 14:02
LowVig.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.89%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -3.08%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 14:02
BetUS🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.89%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -3.08%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 14:02
BetAnything🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.89%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -3.08%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 14:02
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -3.08%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -3.08%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 14:16
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -3.08%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 14:15
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.54%E -0.385%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 14:21
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 14:05
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.69%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 14:24
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -7.68%E -4.00%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.69%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 14:11
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.46%EV -8.64%E -4.55%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.44%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -10.15%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 14:16
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.42%EV -7.68%E -4.00%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.72%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.86%EV -7.94%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 14:11
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.34%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.70%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 14:05
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.31%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.68%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.01%EV -5.48%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 14:26
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.75%EV -2.87%E -1.42%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.81%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -10.15%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:10
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.81%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.60%E -5.11%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -5.81%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 14:16
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -10.09%E -5.39%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -5.81%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 14:16
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -10.09%E -5.39%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -5.81%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 14:16
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -10.09%E -5.39%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -5.81%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 14:16
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -10.09%E -5.39%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -5.81%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 14:16
Betsson🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.53%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.42%EV -6.90%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.05%EV -11.63%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -1.54%E -0.385%K -0.513%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.70%EV -4.80%E -2.42%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 14:11
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -4.80%E -2.42%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 14:06
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 14:20
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:02
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:02
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:02
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -10.09%E -5.39%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.42%EV -11.05%E -5.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.17%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -12.62%E -3.55%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 14:16
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -8.54%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 14:21
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -3.83%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -1.54%E -0.385%K -0.513%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 14:25
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -3.83%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:01
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -3.83%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:02
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -3.83%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.69%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 14:02
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.24%E -3.20%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.00%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -12.01%E -6.56%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -11.05%E -5.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.38%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 14:25
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -11.05%E -5.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.85%E -3.96%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-19 14:06
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.48%EV -11.53%E -6.27%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.28%EV -10.72%E -3.28%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.24%EV -9.42%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 14:25
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.71%EV -7.68%E -4.00%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.27%E -3.47%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 14:02
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -8.16%E -4.27%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.27%E -3.47%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.69%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 14:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.91%EV -8.64%E -4.55%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 14:06
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -9.60%E -5.11%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-19 14:06
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -13.45%E -7.47%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-19 14:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-09-19 14:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-09-19 14:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-09-19 14:16
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-09-19 14:26
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-09-19 14:16
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-19 14:11