默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

ADO Den Haag v Fortuna Sittard

开赛时间: 2026-09-06 14:45 UTC

最终结果: ADO Den Haag 2–3 Fortuna Sittard

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

ADO Den Haag (主队)

预测 47.69%2.10公平赔率
EV -1.76%
优势 -0.856%
Kelly -1.66%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.06

博彩公司预测分布
46.69%47.66%47.76%49.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.961.962.0654.64%51.04%50.89%48.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fortuna Sittard (客队)

预测 27.95%3.58公平赔率
EV -1.61%
优势 -0.459%
Kelly -0.641%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.52

博彩公司预测分布
26.74%28.00%27.91%29.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.313.303.5232.26%30.17%30.30%28.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.36%4.10公平赔率
EV -1.82%
优势 -0.452%
Kelly -0.601%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.03

博彩公司预测分布
23.24%24.33%24.33%25.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.803.804.0328.57%26.34%26.32%24.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:ADO Den Haag (主队):47.69%;Fortuna Sittard (客队):27.95%;平局:24.36%。 对于“Fortuna Sittard (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.58。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.52,期望值为-1.61%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.03%EV -1.76%E -0.856%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.92%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.04%EV -1.82%E -0.452%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.44%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -3.57%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.77%E -0.954%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 14:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.35%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.13%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.35%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.13%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 14:40
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.14%EV -4.15%E -2.06%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -1.61%E -0.459%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.37%EV -3.28%E -0.827%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 14:40
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.89%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 14:39
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.89%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 14:39
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 10:10
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 09:25
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 09:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 10:10
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 14:40
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 04:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 10:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -2.17%E -0.621%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -2.17%E -0.621%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 14:20
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -2.17%E -0.621%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 14:20
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -2.17%E -0.621%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.48%EV -3.57%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 14:35
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.48%EV -3.57%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.85%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 14:20
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.12%EV -6.06%E -3.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 14:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.12%EV -6.06%E -3.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 14:40
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.12%EV -6.06%E -3.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 14:40
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -6.06%E -3.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 14:05
Bovada🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.95%EV -6.53%E -3.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 14:39
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -6.53%E -3.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -3.57%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 14:40
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 14:39
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 14:20
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 14:35
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 10:10
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 10:10
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 14:35
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.10%EV -7.49%E -3.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -5.53%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -6.45%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -7.96%E -4.13%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 14:05
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -7.96%E -4.13%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 14:05
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -7.96%E -4.13%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -8.44%E -4.40%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 14:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.66%EV -8.32%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 14:34
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 14:35
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -9.39%E -4.94%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.17%E -0.621%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -9.39%E -4.94%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 14:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -10.82%E -5.79%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.62%EV -12.26%E -6.66%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -12.73%E -6.96%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-06 14:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-09-06 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-09-06 14:40
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-09-06 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-09-06 14:35
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-09-06 14:40
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-06 14:40