Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

ADO Den Haag v Fortuna Sittard

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 14:45 UTC

Score final : ADO Den Haag 2–3 Fortuna Sittard

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

ADO Den Haag (Local)

Prévision 47.69%2.10cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.856%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.69%47.66%47.76%49.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.961.962.0654.64%51.04%50.89%48.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fortuna Sittard (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.95%3.58cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.459%
Kelly -0.641%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.74%28.00%27.91%29.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.313.303.5232.26%30.17%30.30%28.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.36%4.10cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.452%
Kelly -0.601%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.24%24.33%24.33%25.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.803.804.0328.57%26.34%26.32%24.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : ADO Den Haag (Local) : 47.69% ; Fortuna Sittard (Visiteur) : 27.95% ; Match nul : 24.36%. Pour Fortuna Sittard (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.58. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.52, pour une espérance de -1.61% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.03%EV -1.76%E -0.856%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.92%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.04%EV -1.82%E -0.452%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.44%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -3.57%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.77%E -0.954%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 14:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.35%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.13%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.35%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.13%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 14:40
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.14%EV -4.15%E -2.06%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -1.61%E -0.459%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.37%EV -3.28%E -0.827%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 14:40
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.89%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 14:39
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.89%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 14:39
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 10:10
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 09:25
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 09:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 10:10
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 14:40
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 04:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 10:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 14:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.37%EV -5.10%E -2.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -2.17%E -0.621%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -2.17%E -0.621%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 14:20
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -2.17%E -0.621%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 14:20
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -2.17%E -0.621%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.48%EV -3.57%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 14:35
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.48%EV -3.57%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.85%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 14:20
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.12%EV -6.06%E -3.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 14:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.12%EV -6.06%E -3.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 14:40
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.12%EV -6.06%E -3.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 14:40
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -6.06%E -3.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 14:05
Bovada🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.95%EV -6.53%E -3.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 14:39
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -6.53%E -3.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -3.57%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 14:40
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 14:39
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 14:20
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 14:35
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 10:10
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 10:10
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 14:35
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.10%EV -7.49%E -3.86%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -5.53%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -6.45%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -7.96%E -4.13%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 14:05
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -7.96%E -4.13%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 14:05
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -7.96%E -4.13%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -8.44%E -4.40%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -6.21%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 14:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.66%EV -8.32%E -2.54%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 14:34
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 14:35
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -9.39%E -4.94%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.17%E -0.621%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -9.39%E -4.94%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 14:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -10.82%E -5.79%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -9.86%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.62%EV -12.26%E -6.66%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.64%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -12.73%E -6.96%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -7.42%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-06 14:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-09-06 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-09-06 14:40
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-09-06 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-09-06 14:35
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-09-06 14:40
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-06 14:40