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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Toluca v Santos Laguna

Inizio: 2026-09-21 00:00 UTC

Finale: Toluca 2–3 Santos Laguna

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

47 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Toluca (Casa)

Previsione 77.98%1.28quota equa
EV -2.53%
Vantaggio -2.02%
Kelly -10.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.02%77.85%78.11%79.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.131.191.191.2588.50%83.96%84.03%80.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Santos Laguna (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.35%11.98quota equa
EV +25.21%
Vantaggio +1.68%
Kelly +1.80%
Crescita +0.454%

ipotizzando la quota massima 15.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.32%8.34%8.39%10.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
9.0010.8310.5015.0011.11%9.23%9.52%6.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 13.67%7.31quota equa
EV +2.56%
Vantaggio +0.341%
Kelly +0.394%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.27%13.81%13.50%16.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.706.566.507.5017.54%15.24%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Toluca (Casa): 77.98%; Santos Laguna (Trasferta): 8.35%; Pareggio: 13.67%. Per Santos Laguna (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 11.98. 9 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 15.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +25.21%.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.72%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV +25.21%E +1.68%K +1.80%G +0.454%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.95%EV -7.01%E -1.03%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 23:00
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.45%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.46%EV +8.52%E +0.655%K +0.710%G +0.060%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.10%EV +1.19%E +0.161%K +0.187%G +0.002%3.2%2026-09-20 23:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.45%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.46%EV +8.52%E +0.655%K +0.710%G +0.060%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.10%EV +1.19%E +0.161%K +0.187%G +0.002%3.2%2026-09-20 23:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.45%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.46%EV +8.52%E +0.655%K +0.710%G +0.060%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.10%EV +1.19%E +0.161%K +0.187%G +0.002%3.2%2026-09-20 23:44
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.40%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%12.67I 7.89%NM 7.58%EV +5.76%E +0.455%K +0.494%G +0.028%7.38I 13.55%NM 13.02%EV +0.920%E +0.125%K +0.144%G +0.001%4.1%2026-09-20 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +0.172%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 23:49
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +0.172%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 23:45
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +0.172%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 23:39
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +0.172%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 23:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.64%EV -8.77%E -7.49%K -51.57%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.83%EV -1.92%E -0.163%K -0.178%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.53%EV -7.01%E -1.03%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 23:53
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -4.00%E -0.348%K -0.381%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -7.70%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 23:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -4.00%E -0.348%K -0.381%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -7.70%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 23:54
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.03%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -4.00%E -0.348%K -0.381%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -0.858%E -0.118%K -0.137%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 23:39
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.32%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.11%G +0.000%11.48I 8.71%NM 8.42%EV -4.17%E -0.363%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.78I 14.75%NM 14.26%EV -7.28%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 23:50
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.83%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.77%G +0.000%11.10I 9.01%NM 8.62%EV -7.34%E -0.661%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.54%EV -3.32%E -0.469%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 23:59
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -8.18%E -0.743%K -0.818%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 23:39
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.12%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.18%E -0.743%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -17.95%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 23:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.18%E -0.743%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.11%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 23:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.36%EV -9.55%E -8.23%K -59.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -8.18%E -0.743%K -0.818%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%8.6%2026-09-20 23:45
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.18%E -0.743%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -11.11%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 22:49
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.90%EV -8.77%E -7.49%K -51.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.79%EV -12.35%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%8.3%2026-09-20 23:39
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.02%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.79%EV -12.35%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -22.05%E -3.87%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 23:50
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.02%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.79%EV -12.35%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -22.05%E -3.87%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 23:50
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV -12.35%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -12.48%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 23:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV -12.35%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -12.48%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 23:54
Casumo🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV -12.35%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -12.48%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 23:54
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV -12.35%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -12.48%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 23:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV -12.35%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -12.48%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 23:54
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV -12.35%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -12.48%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 23:54
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.07%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -14.53%E -2.33%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 23:39
LeoVegas🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.80%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -11.11%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 23:50
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.25%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -16.58%E -2.72%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 23:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.25%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -16.58%E -2.72%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 23:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.25%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -16.58%E -2.72%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 23:54
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -17.95%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 22:49
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -17.95%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 23:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -17.95%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 23:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -17.95%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 23:39
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -17.95%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 23:39
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -11.11%E -9.74%K -79.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 76.56%EV -9.55%E -8.23%K -59.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.88%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -16.58%E -2.72%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 23:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 77.38%EV -11.89%E -10.52%K -91.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.74%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.88%EV -13.85%E -2.20%K -2.61%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-20 23:54
BoyleSports🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -20.70%E -2.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.11%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 76.49%EV -11.89%E -10.52%K -91.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.10%EV -20.70%E -2.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -17.95%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-20 23:54
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -24.87%E -2.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -11.11%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 23:44
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.34%EV -8.77%E -7.49%K -51.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -24.87%E -2.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.11%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 23:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 75.44%EV -9.55%E -8.23%K -59.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.72%EV -24.87%E -2.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.83%EV -19.32%E -3.27%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-20 23:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.10%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.88%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-09-20 23:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.10%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.88%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-09-20 23:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.10%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.88%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-09-20 23:39
Matchbook◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.10%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.88%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-09-20 23:39
Smarkets◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.16%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%2.1%2026-09-20 23:45
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.80%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.73%2.3%2026-09-20 23:54