L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Toluca v Santos Laguna

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-21 00:00 UTC

Score final : Toluca 2–3 Santos Laguna

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toluca (Local)

Prévision 77.98%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -10.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.02%77.85%78.11%79.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.131.191.191.2588.50%83.96%84.03%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Santos Laguna (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.35%11.98cote équitable
EV +25.21%
Avantage +1.68%
Kelly +1.80%
Croissance +0.454%

avec la cote maximale 15.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.32%8.34%8.39%10.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.0010.8310.5015.0011.11%9.23%9.52%6.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 13.67%7.31cote équitable
EV +2.56%
Avantage +0.341%
Kelly +0.394%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.27%13.81%13.50%16.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.706.566.507.5017.54%15.24%15.38%13.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Toluca (Local) : 77.98% ; Santos Laguna (Visiteur) : 8.35% ; Match nul : 13.67%. Pour Santos Laguna (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 11.98. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 15.00, soit une espérance positive de +25.21%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.72%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV +25.21%E +1.68%K +1.80%G +0.454%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.95%EV -7.01%E -1.03%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 23:00
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.45%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.46%EV +8.52%E +0.655%K +0.710%G +0.060%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.10%EV +1.19%E +0.161%K +0.187%G +0.002%3.2%2026-09-20 23:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.45%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.46%EV +8.52%E +0.655%K +0.710%G +0.060%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.10%EV +1.19%E +0.161%K +0.187%G +0.002%3.2%2026-09-20 23:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.45%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.46%EV +8.52%E +0.655%K +0.710%G +0.060%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.10%EV +1.19%E +0.161%K +0.187%G +0.002%3.2%2026-09-20 23:44
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.40%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%12.67I 7.89%NM 7.58%EV +5.76%E +0.455%K +0.494%G +0.028%7.38I 13.55%NM 13.02%EV +0.920%E +0.125%K +0.144%G +0.001%4.1%2026-09-20 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV +0.172%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 23:49
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +0.172%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 23:45
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +0.172%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 23:39
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +0.172%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 23:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.64%EV -8.77%E -7.49%K -51.57%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.83%EV -1.92%E -0.163%K -0.178%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.53%EV -7.01%E -1.03%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 23:53
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -4.00%E -0.348%K -0.381%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -7.70%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 23:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -4.00%E -0.348%K -0.381%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -7.70%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 23:54
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.03%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -4.00%E -0.348%K -0.381%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -0.858%E -0.118%K -0.137%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 23:39
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.32%EV -2.53%E -2.02%K -10.11%G +0.000%11.48I 8.71%NM 8.42%EV -4.17%E -0.363%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.78I 14.75%NM 14.26%EV -7.28%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 23:50
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.83%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.77%G +0.000%11.10I 9.01%NM 8.62%EV -7.34%E -0.661%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.07I 14.14%NM 13.54%EV -3.32%E -0.469%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 23:59
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -8.18%E -0.743%K -0.818%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 23:39
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -4.87%E -3.99%K -22.12%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -8.18%E -0.743%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -17.95%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 23:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.18%E -0.743%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.11%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 23:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.36%EV -9.55%E -8.23%K -59.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -8.18%E -0.743%K -0.818%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%8.6%2026-09-20 23:45
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -8.18%E -0.743%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -11.11%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 22:49
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.90%EV -8.77%E -7.49%K -51.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.79%EV -12.35%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV +2.56%E +0.341%K +0.394%G +0.010%8.3%2026-09-20 23:39
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.02%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.79%EV -12.35%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -22.05%E -3.87%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 23:50
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.02%EV -4.09%E -3.32%K -17.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.79%EV -12.35%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -22.05%E -3.87%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 23:50
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV -12.35%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -12.48%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 23:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV -12.35%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -12.48%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 23:54
Casumo🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV -12.35%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -12.48%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 23:54
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV -12.35%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -12.48%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 23:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV -12.35%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -12.48%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 23:54
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.82%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV -12.35%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -12.48%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 23:54
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.07%EV -5.65%E -4.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -14.53%E -2.33%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 23:39
LeoVegas🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.80%EV -7.21%E -6.06%K -37.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -11.11%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 23:50
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.25%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -16.58%E -2.72%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 23:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.25%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -16.58%E -2.72%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 23:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.25%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -16.58%E -2.72%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 23:54
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -17.95%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 22:49
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -17.95%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 23:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -17.95%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 23:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -17.95%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 23:39
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -17.95%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 23:39
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -11.11%E -9.74%K -79.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -4.28%E -0.611%K -0.713%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 76.56%EV -9.55%E -8.23%K -59.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.88%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -16.58%E -2.72%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 23:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 77.38%EV -11.89%E -10.52%K -91.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.74%EV -16.52%E -1.65%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.88%EV -13.85%E -2.20%K -2.61%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-20 23:54
BoyleSports🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -7.99%E -6.77%K -44.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -20.70%E -2.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.11%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 23:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 76.49%EV -11.89%E -10.52%K -91.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.10%EV -20.70%E -2.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -17.95%E -2.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-20 23:54
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -6.43%E -5.36%K -32.13%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -24.87%E -2.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -11.11%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 23:44
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.34%EV -8.77%E -7.49%K -51.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -24.87%E -2.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.11%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 23:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 75.44%EV -9.55%E -8.23%K -59.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.72%EV -24.87%E -2.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.83%EV -19.32%E -3.27%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-20 23:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.10%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.88%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-09-20 23:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.10%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.88%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-09-20 23:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.10%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.88%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-09-20 23:39
Matchbook◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.10%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.88%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-09-20 23:39
Smarkets◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.16%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%2.1%2026-09-20 23:45
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.80%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.73%2.3%2026-09-20 23:54