La escuela de los momiosToluca v Atlas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Toluca (Local)
Predicción 60.91%1.64momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -4.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.82%60.95%61.05%64.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.491.501.6072.46%66.94%66.67%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atlas (Visitante)
Predicción 16.61%6.02momio equitativo
EV +12.15%
Ventaja +1.80%
Kelly +2.11%
Crecimiento +0.257%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.72%16.55%16.45%17.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.745.726.7520.41%17.42%17.47%14.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.48%4.45momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.248%
Kelly -0.321%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.53%22.50%22.50%23.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.104.104.4026.67%24.40%24.39%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.75%EV -12.90%E -9.02%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV +12.15%E +1.80%K +2.11%G +0.257% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -3.34%E -0.777%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.62%EV -9.25%E -6.21%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV +7.99%E +1.23%K +1.45%G +0.116% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV -2.22%E -0.509%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.62%EV -9.25%E -6.21%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV +7.99%E +1.23%K +1.45%G +0.116% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV -2.22%E -0.509%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Unibet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -11.08%E -7.59%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV +6.33%E +0.989%K +1.17%G +0.074% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.79%EV -11.69%E -8.06%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.45%EV +6.33%E +0.989%K +1.17%G +0.074% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Casumo | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.79%EV -11.69%E -8.06%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.45%EV +6.33%E +0.989%K +1.17%G +0.074% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.79%EV -11.69%E -8.06%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.45%EV +6.33%E +0.989%K +1.17%G +0.074% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.79%EV -11.69%E -8.06%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.45%EV +6.33%E +0.989%K +1.17%G +0.074% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| betPARX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.79%EV -11.69%E -8.06%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.45%EV +6.33%E +0.989%K +1.17%G +0.074% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.29%E -8.54%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +6.33%E +0.989%K +1.17%G +0.074% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -12.90%E -9.02%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV +3.84%E +0.614%K +0.731%G +0.028% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -12.90%E -9.02%K -30.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV +3.84%E +0.614%K +0.731%G +0.028% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.55%EV -13.51%E -9.52%K -32.17%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.44%EV +3.84%E +0.614%K +0.731%G +0.028% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.64%EV -15.95%E -11.56%K -41.97%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.40%EV +1.35%E +0.221%K +0.264%G +0.004% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.92%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -0.315%E -0.052%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -1.98%E -0.335%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.21%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -1.98%E -0.335%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.21%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 00:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -9.86%E -6.66%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -1.98%E -0.335%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -3.34%E -0.777%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 00:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.96%EV -3.77%E -2.38%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.38%EV -2.31%E -0.393%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.66%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.07%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.42%EV -2.97%E -0.509%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.51%EV -4.24%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.20%EV -3.77%E -2.38%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV -4.47%E -0.777%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -1.09%E -0.248%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -6.20%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -4.47%E -0.777%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -6.20%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -4.47%E -0.777%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.47%E -0.777%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -4.47%E -0.777%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| Fliff | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.38%EV -9.25%E -6.21%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -5.30%E -0.930%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.58%EV -8.96%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.61%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 5.67I 17.64%NM 16.62%EV -5.80%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -2.67%E -0.616%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.84%EV -6.20%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.58%EV -6.13%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.58%EV -6.71%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.98%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.41%EV -6.13%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.51%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 17.23%EV -6.63%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV -2.22%E -0.509%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.05%EV -8.03%E -5.32%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -6.96%E -1.24%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-15 00:47 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.46%E -3.49%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -12.29%E -8.54%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-15 00:45 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -12.78%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.19%EV -9.86%E -6.66%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -12.78%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -12.33%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.19%EV -9.86%E -6.66%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -12.78%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -12.33%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.27%EV -11.08%E -7.59%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.76%EV -12.78%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 22.97%EV -13.91%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-15 00:53 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -12.29%E -8.54%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -12.78%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -12.33%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-15 00:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -13.61%E -2.62%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.24%EV -14.73%E -10.52%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.49%EV -13.61%E -2.62%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.27%EV -13.46%E -3.49%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-03-15 00:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.80%EV -10.47%E -7.12%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -11.21%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.27% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.07% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.66% | 0.4% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.27% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.07% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.66% | 0.4% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.94% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.75% | 2.2% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.49% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.37% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.15% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 00:55 |