مدرسة الاحتمالات

Toluca v Atlas

البداية: 2026-03-15 01:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Toluca (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.91%1.64السعر العادل
EV -2.55%
الأفضلية -1.59%
Kelly -4.25%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.82%60.95%61.05%64.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.381.491.501.6072.46%66.94%66.67%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atlas (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.61%6.02السعر العادل
EV +12.15%
الأفضلية +1.80%
Kelly +2.11%
النمو +0.257%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.72%16.55%16.45%17.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.905.745.726.7520.41%17.42%17.47%14.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.48%4.45السعر العادل
EV -1.09%
الأفضلية -0.248%
Kelly -0.321%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.53%22.50%22.50%23.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.104.104.4026.67%24.40%24.39%22.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.75%EV -12.90%E -9.02%K -30.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV +12.15%E +1.80%K +2.11%G +0.257%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -3.34%E -0.777%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 00:40
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.62%EV -9.25%E -6.21%K -18.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV +7.99%E +1.23%K +1.45%G +0.116%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV -2.22%E -0.509%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 00:55
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 63.62%EV -9.25%E -6.21%K -18.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV +7.99%E +1.23%K +1.45%G +0.116%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV -2.22%E -0.509%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 00:55
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.63%EV -11.08%E -7.59%K -24.08%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.51%EV +6.33%E +0.989%K +1.17%G +0.074%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 00:55
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.79%EV -11.69%E -8.06%K -25.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.45%EV +6.33%E +0.989%K +1.17%G +0.074%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 00:55
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 63.79%EV -11.69%E -8.06%K -25.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.45%EV +6.33%E +0.989%K +1.17%G +0.074%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 00:55
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.79%EV -11.69%E -8.06%K -25.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.45%EV +6.33%E +0.989%K +1.17%G +0.074%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 00:55
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.79%EV -11.69%E -8.06%K -25.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.45%EV +6.33%E +0.989%K +1.17%G +0.074%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 00:55
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 63.79%EV -11.69%E -8.06%K -25.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.45%EV +6.33%E +0.989%K +1.17%G +0.074%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 00:55
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.29%E -8.54%K -27.94%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +6.33%E +0.989%K +1.17%G +0.074%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -12.90%E -9.02%K -30.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV +3.84%E +0.614%K +0.731%G +0.028%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 00:55
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -12.90%E -9.02%K -30.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV +3.84%E +0.614%K +0.731%G +0.028%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 00:55
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.55%EV -13.51%E -9.52%K -32.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.44%EV +3.84%E +0.614%K +0.731%G +0.028%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 00:55
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 63.64%EV -15.95%E -11.56%K -41.97%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.40%EV +1.35%E +0.221%K +0.264%G +0.004%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 00:55
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.92%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -0.315%E -0.052%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 00:35
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -1.98%E -0.335%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.21%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 00:55
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -1.98%E -0.335%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.21%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 00:54
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.69%EV -9.86%E -6.66%K -20.54%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -1.98%E -0.335%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -3.34%E -0.777%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 00:45
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.96%EV -3.77%E -2.38%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.38%EV -2.31%E -0.393%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.66%EV -4.46%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:55
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.07%EV -4.38%E -2.79%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.42%EV -2.97%E -0.509%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.51%EV -4.24%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:55
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.20%EV -3.77%E -2.38%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.82%EV -4.47%E -0.777%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -1.09%E -0.248%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 00:55
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -6.20%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -4.47%E -0.777%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 00:55
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -6.20%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -4.47%E -0.777%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 00:35
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -4.47%E -0.777%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 00:55
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -4.47%E -0.777%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 00:35
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 61.38%EV -9.25%E -6.21%K -18.88%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -5.30%E -0.930%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.58%EV -8.96%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 00:55
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 61.61%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 16.62%EV -5.80%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -2.67%E -0.616%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 00:35
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 60.84%EV -6.20%E -4.03%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.58%EV -6.13%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.58%EV -6.71%E -1.62%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 00:55
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.98%EV -7.42%E -4.88%K -14.27%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.41%EV -6.13%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 00:55
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.51%EV -2.55%E -1.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 17.23%EV -6.63%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV -2.22%E -0.509%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 00:55
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 61.05%EV -8.03%E -5.32%K -15.75%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -6.96%E -1.24%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 00:47
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 00:35
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 00:35
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 00:30
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -13.46%E -3.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 00:55
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 00:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -12.29%E -8.54%K -27.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -8.62%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-15 00:45
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.81%E -4.45%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -12.78%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.19%EV -9.86%E -6.66%K -20.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -12.78%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -12.33%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-15 00:50
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.19%EV -9.86%E -6.66%K -20.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -12.78%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -12.33%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-15 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.27%EV -11.08%E -7.59%K -24.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.76%EV -12.78%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.97%EV -13.91%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 00:53
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -12.29%E -8.54%K -27.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -12.78%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -12.33%E -3.16%K -4.25%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-15 00:45
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -13.61%E -2.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 00:55
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.24%EV -14.73%E -10.52%K -36.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.49%EV -13.61%E -2.62%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.27%EV -13.46%E -3.49%K -4.72%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-15 00:54
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.08%E -2.52%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 00:30
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-15 00:55
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-15 00:55
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-15 00:55
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.93%E -3.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-15 00:55
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.80%EV -10.47%E -7.12%K -22.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -18.59%E -3.79%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -11.21%E -2.84%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 00:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.27%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.66%0.4%2026-03-15 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.27%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.66%0.4%2026-03-15 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%0.8%2026-03-15 00:55
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%0.8%2026-03-15 00:55
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.75%2.2%2026-03-15 00:55
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 62.49%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.37%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.15%3.9%2026-03-15 00:55