Language:English
Tijuana v Santos Laguna
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tijuana (Local)
Prediction 60.03%1.67fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -4.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.76%59.95%60.10%61.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.531.541.6269.93%65.16%64.94%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Santos Laguna (Visit)
Prediction 17.75%5.63fair odd
EV +2.62%
Edge +0.452%
Kelly +0.547%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 5.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.55%17.82%17.72%19.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.135.205.7822.22%19.49%19.23%17.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.22%4.50fair odd
EV +1.53%
Edge +0.334%
Kelly +0.427%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 4.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.97%22.24%22.18%24.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.124.154.5728.57%24.29%24.10%21.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tijuana (Local): 60.03%; Santos Laguna (Visit): 17.75%; Draw: 22.22%. For Santos Laguna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.25%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.64%EV +2.62%E +0.452%K +0.547%G +0.014% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11%EV -3.36%E -0.773%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 02:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.70%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.27%EV -0.758%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.03%EV -2.69%E -0.615%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-09 02:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.70%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.27%EV -0.758%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.03%EV -2.69%E -0.615%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-09 02:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -2.36%E -0.428%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 02:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -2.36%E -0.428%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 02:08 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -2.36%E -0.428%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-09 02:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -6.95%E -4.49%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.13%E -0.765%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.80%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 02:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -6.95%E -4.49%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.13%E -0.765%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.80%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 02:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.13%E -0.765%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 02:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -4.13%E -0.765%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -8.92%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 02:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -4.13%E -0.765%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -8.92%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 03:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.53%EV -4.49%E -0.834%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.03%EV -4.92%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 02:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.60%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.33%EV -5.02%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 02:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.05%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.98%EV -5.37%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.97%EV +1.53%E +0.334%K +0.427%G +0.007% | 4.3% | 2026-03-09 02:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV -5.91%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 02:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV -5.91%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 02:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.95%E -4.49%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 02:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.92%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 02:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-09 02:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -6.95%E -4.49%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -8.92%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-09 03:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -6.95%E -4.49%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 02:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.68%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 02:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.68%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 02:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.68%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 02:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.68%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 02:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.68%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 02:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.68%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 02:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.66%EV -6.95%E -4.49%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -7.68%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.92%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-09 02:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.81%EV -2.75%E -1.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.50%EV -8.57%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.46%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.92%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-09 02:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.75%E -5.76%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -9.46%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.92%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-09 02:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.08%EV -9.35%E -6.19%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -9.46%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -8.92%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-09 02:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.82%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.12%EV -10.34%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.05%EV -7.80%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-09 02:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.95%E -4.49%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 03:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.95%E -4.49%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-09 02:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-09 02:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.80%EV -11.75%E -8.00%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -13.01%E -2.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.25%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-09 02:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-09 02:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-09 02:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-09 02:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-09 02:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-09 02:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-09 02:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-09 02:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -15.67%E -3.30%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-09 02:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.13%EV -11.15%E -7.54%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.43%EV -15.67%E -3.30%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.44%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-09 02:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -8.75%E -5.76%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -16.56%E -3.52%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-09 03:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 59.85%EV -14.16%E -9.90%K -32.92%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.21%EV -16.56%E -3.52%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.94%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-09 03:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -20.11%E -4.47%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-09 02:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -20.11%E -4.47%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -22.24%E -6.36%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-03-09 02:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.47% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65% | 0.4% | 2026-03-09 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-03-09 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-03-09 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-03-09 03:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.97% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81% | 1.9% | 2026-03-09 03:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.32% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.13% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 02:55 |