L’École des cotes

Tijuana v Santos Laguna

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-09 03:06 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tijuana (Local)

Prévision 60.03%1.67cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -4.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.76%59.95%60.10%61.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.531.541.6269.93%65.16%64.94%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Santos Laguna (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.75%5.63cote équitable
EV +2.62%
Avantage +0.452%
Kelly +0.547%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 5.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.55%17.82%17.72%19.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.135.205.7822.22%19.49%19.23%17.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.22%4.50cote équitable
EV +1.53%
Avantage +0.334%
Kelly +0.427%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 4.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.97%22.24%22.18%24.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.124.154.5728.57%24.29%24.10%21.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.25%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.64%EV +2.62%E +0.452%K +0.547%G +0.014%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11%EV -3.36%E -0.773%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 02:55
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.70%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.27%EV -0.758%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.03%EV -2.69%E -0.615%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-09 02:09
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.70%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.27%EV -0.758%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.03%EV -2.69%E -0.615%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-09 02:09
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -2.36%E -0.428%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 02:54
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -2.36%E -0.428%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 02:08
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -2.36%E -0.428%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-09 02:39
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -6.95%E -4.49%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.13%E -0.765%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.80%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 02:09
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -6.95%E -4.49%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.13%E -0.765%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.80%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 02:09
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.13%E -0.765%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 02:54
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -4.13%E -0.765%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -8.92%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 02:54
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.37%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -4.13%E -0.765%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -8.92%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 03:05
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.44%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.53%EV -4.49%E -0.834%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.03%EV -4.92%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 02:54
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.60%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.33%EV -5.02%E -0.938%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 02:55
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.05%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.98%EV -5.37%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.97%EV +1.53%E +0.334%K +0.427%G +0.007%4.3%2026-03-09 02:55
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV -5.91%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 02:40
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV -5.91%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -5.58%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 02:40
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.95%E -4.49%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 02:10
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.92%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 02:55
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-09 02:40
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -6.95%E -4.49%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -8.92%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 03:04
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -6.95%E -4.49%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 02:09
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.68%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 02:39
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.68%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 02:40
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.68%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 02:39
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.68%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 02:40
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.68%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 02:40
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.68%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 02:40
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 59.66%EV -6.95%E -4.49%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -7.68%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.92%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-09 02:39
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.81%EV -2.75%E -1.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.50%EV -8.57%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 18:09
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -9.46%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.92%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 02:40
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.75%E -5.76%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -9.46%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.92%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-09 02:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.08%EV -9.35%E -6.19%K -18.34%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -9.46%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -8.92%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-09 02:39
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 59.82%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.12%EV -10.34%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.05%EV -7.80%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-09 02:40
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.95%E -4.49%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 03:05
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.95%E -4.49%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.69%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 02:10
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-09 02:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-09 02:09
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 59.80%EV -11.75%E -8.00%K -25.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -13.01%E -2.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.25%E -3.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-09 02:39
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 02:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 02:40
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-09 02:55
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-09 02:54
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-09 02:54
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-09 02:55
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-09 02:55
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -15.67%E -3.30%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-09 02:09
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.13%EV -11.15%E -7.54%K -23.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.43%EV -15.67%E -3.30%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.44%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-09 02:39
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -8.75%E -5.76%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -16.56%E -3.52%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -4.47%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-09 03:05
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 59.85%EV -14.16%E -9.90%K -32.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.21%EV -16.56%E -3.52%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.94%EV -13.36%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-09 03:04
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -20.11%E -4.47%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -11.14%E -2.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-09 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -9.95%E -6.64%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -20.11%E -4.47%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -22.24%E -6.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%17.5%2026-03-09 02:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.47%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%0.4%2026-03-09 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-03-09 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-03-09 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-03-09 03:04
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.97%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%1.9%2026-03-09 03:05
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.32%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.13%3.9%2026-03-09 02:55