Language:English
Tijuana v Querétaro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tijuana (Local)
Prediction 46.36%2.16fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.24%46.25%46.43%48.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.992.002.0754.05%50.30%50.00%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Querétaro (Visit)
Prediction 26.23%3.81fair odd
EV +0.458%
Edge +0.119%
Kelly +0.162%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.83%26.36%26.16%28.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.433.413.8332.26%29.20%29.33%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.41%3.65fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.364%
Kelly -0.503%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.70%27.39%27.41%29.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.363.403.6031.75%29.75%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tijuana (Local): 46.36%; Querétaro (Visit): 26.23%; Draw: 27.41%. For Querétaro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.458%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.17%EV -4.51%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.83%EV +0.458%E +0.119%K +0.162%G +0.001% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -10.08%E -3.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.17%EV -4.51%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.83%EV +0.458%E +0.119%K +0.162%G +0.001% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -10.08%E -3.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.17%EV -4.51%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.83%EV +0.458%E +0.119%K +0.162%G +0.001% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -10.08%E -3.07%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.18%EV -4.51%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.90%EV +0.195%E +0.051%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.92%EV -9.81%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 23:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.58%EV -4.04%E -1.95%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.30%EV -2.17%E -0.581%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.12%EV -11.18%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 00:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.11%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.66%EV -4.79%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 07:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.92%E -6.27%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 21:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 14:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 07:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 07:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -8.21%E -4.15%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 21:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 21:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.79%EV -11.46%E -6.00%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.13%EV -10.30%E -3.01%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 07:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -1.31%E -0.364%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 20:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -1.31%E -0.364%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 20:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-08 07:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.46%E -6.00%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.27%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 07:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.52%EV -12.85%E -6.83%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.76%EV -13.65%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-09 12:36 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -5.90%E -2.90%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.31%E -0.364%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.28%EV -10.53%E -5.46%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -1.31%E -0.364%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 20:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 20:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 07:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 07:53 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.03%EV -11.00%E -5.73%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.19%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.03%EV -11.00%E -5.73%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.19%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.03%EV -11.00%E -5.73%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.19%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 03:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -16.07%E -5.02%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 20:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.18%EV -14.24%E -7.70%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.70%EV -16.07%E -5.02%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.12%EV -13.65%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-09-08 21:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -18.69%E -6.03%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 03:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -18.69%E -6.03%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 04:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -18.69%E -6.03%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 05:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -18.69%E -6.03%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 04:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -18.69%E -6.03%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 04:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.30% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 14:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 14:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.20% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.93% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |