Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tijuana v Querétaro

Início: 2026-09-12 03:00 UTC

Final: Tijuana 0–1 Querétaro

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tijuana (Local)

Previsão 46.36%2.16odd justa
EV -4.04%
Vantagem -1.95%
Kelly -3.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.24%46.25%46.43%48.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.992.002.0754.05%50.30%50.00%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Querétaro (Visitante)

Previsão 26.23%3.81odd justa
EV +0.458%
Vantagem +0.119%
Kelly +0.162%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.83%26.36%26.16%28.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.433.413.8332.26%29.20%29.33%26.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.41%3.65odd justa
EV -1.31%
Vantagem -0.364%
Kelly -0.503%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.70%27.39%27.41%29.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.363.403.6031.75%29.75%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tijuana (Local): 46.36%; Querétaro (Visitante): 26.23%; Empate: 27.41%. Para Querétaro (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.81. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.83, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.458%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.17%EV -4.51%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.83%EV +0.458%E +0.119%K +0.162%G +0.001%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -10.08%E -3.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.17%EV -4.51%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.83%EV +0.458%E +0.119%K +0.162%G +0.001%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -10.08%E -3.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 16:50
BetUS🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.17%EV -4.51%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.83%EV +0.458%E +0.119%K +0.162%G +0.001%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -10.08%E -3.07%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 22:05
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.18%EV -4.51%E -2.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.90%EV +0.195%E +0.051%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.92%EV -9.81%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 23:50
GTbets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.58%EV -4.04%E -1.95%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.30%EV -2.17%E -0.581%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.12%EV -11.18%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 00:15
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.11%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.66%EV -4.79%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 12:25
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 07:09
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 09:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.92%E -6.27%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 21:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 21:54
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 14:40
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 07:40
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -6.36%E -3.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 07:39
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -8.21%E -4.15%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 21:55
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 21:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 21:55
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 21:55
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 21:55
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -8.68%E -4.40%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 21:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.79%EV -11.46%E -6.00%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.13%EV -10.30%E -3.01%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 07:09
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -1.31%E -0.364%K -0.503%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 20:10
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.97%E -2.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -1.31%E -0.364%K -0.503%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 20:14
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 07:40
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -11.46%E -6.00%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.27%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 07:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.52%EV -12.85%E -6.83%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.76%EV -13.65%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-09 12:36
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -5.90%E -2.90%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.31%E -0.364%K -0.503%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 20:10
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.28%EV -10.53%E -5.46%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -12.13%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -1.31%E -0.364%K -0.503%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 20:10
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 20:10
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 07:49
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.05%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 07:53
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -5.42%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.03%EV -11.00%E -5.73%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.19%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-08 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.03%EV -11.00%E -5.73%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.19%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-08 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.03%EV -11.00%E -5.73%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -13.44%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.19%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-08 21:55
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 03:04
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -16.07%E -5.02%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 20:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.18%EV -14.24%E -7.70%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.70%EV -16.07%E -5.02%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.12%EV -13.65%E -4.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-08 21:54
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.60%E -4.93%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -18.69%E -6.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 03:04
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -18.69%E -6.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 04:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -18.69%E -6.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 05:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -18.69%E -6.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 04:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -7.29%E -3.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -18.69%E -6.03%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.90%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 04:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.1%2026-09-09 17:11
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06%2.6%2026-09-09 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%3.3%2026-09-09 14:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%3.3%2026-09-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%3.3%2026-09-09 14:21
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.20%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.93%4.6%2026-09-09 14:35