Language:English
Tijuana v Pumas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tijuana (Local)
Prediction 46.77%2.14fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.853%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.25%46.66%46.84%48.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.002.002.1053.48%50.06%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pumas (Visit)
Prediction 26.28%3.81fair odd
EV +0.635%
Edge +0.166%
Kelly +0.224%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.06%26.36%26.20%28.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.423.383.8332.79%29.25%29.63%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.96%3.71fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.590%
Kelly -0.814%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%26.98%26.95%28.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.353.6332.26%29.69%29.85%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tijuana (Local): 46.77%; Pumas (Visit): 26.28%; Draw: 26.96%. For Pumas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.635%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.59%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.10%EV +0.635%E +0.166%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.11%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 02:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.83%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.56%EV -0.679%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.61%EV -2.14%E -0.590%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 03:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35%EV -4.60%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.90%EV -1.99%E -0.534%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -2.68%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 02:36 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35%EV -4.60%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.90%EV -1.99%E -0.534%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -2.68%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 02:36 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -2.78%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 02:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -2.78%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 03:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -7.40%E -3.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -2.78%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 02:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -7.40%E -3.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -2.78%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 02:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.38%EV -5.06%E -2.49%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.01%EV -4.88%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.61%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 02:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.30%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 02:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -6.93%E -3.48%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 03:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -7.40%E -3.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 02:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.14%E -5.87%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 02:36 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.87%E -3.99%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -6.46%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -7.26%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 02:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 02:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 03:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 03:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.95%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 02:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.68%E -5.59%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 03:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.68%E -5.59%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 03:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -2.73%E -1.31%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.16%EV -8.56%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 00:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 03:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.66%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 00:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.68%E -5.59%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.66%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 03:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 02:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 02:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 02:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.87%EV -12.55%E -6.71%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-29 03:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.78%EV -9.74%E -5.05%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.61%EV -12.77%E -3.85%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-29 03:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.29%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 02:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 02:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 02:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 02:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 02:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 02:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 02:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 02:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 03:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 03:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 03:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 03:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -15.92%E -4.97%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 02:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -15.92%E -4.97%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 02:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -17.23%E -5.47%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 02:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -17.23%E -5.47%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 02:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -17.23%E -5.47%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 02:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.34%EV -9.74%E -5.05%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%EV -19.86%E -6.51%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-29 02:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.48% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 0.3% | 2026-08-29 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-08-29 03:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 02:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15% | 2.3% | 2026-08-29 03:05 |