Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tijuana v Pumas

Início: 2026-08-29 03:10 UTC

Final: Tijuana 2–0 Pumas

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tijuana (Local)

Previsão 46.77%2.14odd justa
EV -1.79%
Vantagem -0.853%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.25%46.66%46.84%48.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.872.002.002.1053.48%50.06%50.00%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pumas (Visitante)

Previsão 26.28%3.81odd justa
EV +0.635%
Vantagem +0.166%
Kelly +0.224%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.06%26.36%26.20%28.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.423.383.8332.79%29.25%29.63%26.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.96%3.71odd justa
EV -2.14%
Vantagem -0.590%
Kelly -0.814%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.81%26.98%26.95%28.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.373.353.6332.26%29.69%29.85%27.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tijuana (Local): 46.77%; Pumas (Visitante): 26.28%; Empate: 26.96%. Para Pumas (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.81. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.83, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.635%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.59%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.10%EV +0.635%E +0.166%K +0.224%G +0.001%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.11%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 02:59
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.83%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.56%EV -0.679%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.61%EV -2.14%E -0.590%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 03:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35%EV -4.60%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.90%EV -1.99%E -0.534%K -0.730%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -2.68%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 02:36
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35%EV -4.60%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.90%EV -1.99%E -0.534%K -0.730%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -2.68%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 02:36
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -2.78%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 02:50
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -2.78%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 03:04
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -7.40%E -3.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -2.78%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 02:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -7.40%E -3.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -2.78%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 02:55
GTbets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.38%EV -5.06%E -2.49%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.01%EV -4.88%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.61%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 02:45
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.30%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 02:45
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -6.93%E -3.48%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 03:05
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -7.40%E -3.74%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 02:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.14%E -5.87%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 02:36
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.87%E -3.99%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -6.46%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -7.26%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 02:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 02:35
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 03:04
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 03:05
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.95%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 02:30
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.68%E -5.59%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.68%E -5.59%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 03:05
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -2.73%E -1.31%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.16%EV -8.56%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 00:40
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 03:05
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.66%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 00:35
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.68%E -5.59%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.66%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 03:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 02:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 02:55
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 02:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.87%EV -12.55%E -6.71%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-29 03:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.78%EV -9.74%E -5.05%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.61%EV -12.77%E -3.85%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 03:04
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.29%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 02:05
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 02:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 02:55
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 02:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 02:55
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 02:55
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 02:55
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 02:54
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 02:25
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 03:05
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 03:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 03:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -14.60%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 03:05
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -15.92%E -4.97%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 02:55
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -15.92%E -4.97%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 02:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -17.23%E -5.47%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 02:56
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -17.23%E -5.47%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 02:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -17.23%E -5.47%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 02:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 44.34%EV -9.74%E -5.05%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%EV -19.86%E -6.51%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-29 02:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%0.3%2026-08-29 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-29 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-29 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-08-29 03:05
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-08-29 02:45
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%2.3%2026-08-29 03:05