L’École des cotes

Tijuana v Pachuca

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 03:00 UTC

Score final : Tijuana 3–1 Pachuca

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tijuana (Local)

Prévision 41.12%2.43cote équitable
EV +4.85%
Avantage +1.90%
Kelly +3.13%
Croissance +0.152%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.31%40.79%41.34%42.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.292.252.5548.78%43.60%44.44%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pachuca (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.00%3.12cote équitable
EV +2.72%
Avantage +0.848%
Kelly +1.23%
Croissance +0.034%

avec la cote maximale 3.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.09%32.35%31.81%35.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.482.792.753.2140.32%35.87%36.36%31.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.88%3.72cote équitable
EV -0.810%
Avantage -0.220%
Kelly -0.301%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.00%26.85%26.85%27.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.413.403.6931.75%29.31%29.41%27.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.36%EV +4.85%E +1.90%K +3.13%G +0.152%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.81%EV -14.88%E -5.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 02:44
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV +4.85%E +1.90%K +3.13%G +0.152%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90%EV -15.20%E -5.73%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 02:39
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV +4.85%E +1.90%K +3.13%G +0.152%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90%EV -15.20%E -5.73%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 02:39
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.84%E -6.02%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 02:40
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.84%E -6.02%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 02:42
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.84%E -6.02%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 02:42
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.84%E -6.02%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 02:42
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.84%E -6.02%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 02:42
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.84%E -6.02%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 02:42
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -16.80%E -6.46%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 02:39
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV +0.740%E +0.302%K +0.511%G +0.004%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -16.80%E -6.46%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 02:42
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -0.082%E -0.034%K -0.057%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -18.40%E -7.21%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 02:39
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -0.082%E -0.034%K -0.057%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -18.40%E -7.21%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 02:39
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -1.32%E -0.548%K -0.940%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 02:34
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -1.32%E -0.548%K -0.940%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -18.40%E -7.21%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.95%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 02:39
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.44%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -20.64%E -8.32%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 02:42
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 37.44%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -20.64%E -8.32%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 02:42
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.71%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.30%EV -4.96%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.00%EV -0.810%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 02:55
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 02:43
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -8.80%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 02:44
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.40%E -3.71%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 02:44
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.62%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.61%EV -9.12%E -3.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -6.99%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 02:55
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.60%EV -6.66%E -2.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -0.797%E -0.257%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.21%EV -0.810%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 02:55
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 41.55%EV -7.07%E -3.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.14%EV -6.99%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 02:49
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.93%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.09%EV +2.72%E +0.848%K +1.23%G +0.034%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.98%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 02:55
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.93%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.09%EV +2.72%E +0.848%K +1.23%G +0.034%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.98%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 02:50
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.60%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 02:49
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 02:44
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 02:44
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -8.80%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 02:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.20%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 02:55
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 02:55
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 02:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 02:44
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 02:44
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -8.72%E -3.93%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -6.56%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 02:55
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -8.72%E -3.93%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -6.56%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 02:55
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 02:54
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 02:44
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.40%E -3.71%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 02:50
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -8.80%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.95%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 02:49
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -13.60%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 02:55
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -13.60%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 02:54
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -13.60%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 02:55
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -13.60%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 02:54
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -10.77%E -4.96%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -5.60%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 02:51
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -11.60%E -5.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.20%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 02:44
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -11.60%E -5.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -7.84%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 02:45
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.60%E -5.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 02:39
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.70%EV -13.65%E -6.50%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.61%EV -11.36%E -4.10%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.69%EV -11.83%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 02:48
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.65%E -6.50%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -13.60%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -9.95%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-23 02:49
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.50%EV -14.88%E -7.19%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.24%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.27%EV -15.33%E -4.87%K -7.13%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 02:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -15.71%E -7.66%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -10.40%E -3.71%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-23 02:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-04-23 02:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-04-23 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-04-23 02:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-04-23 02:55
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%1.8%2026-04-23 02:55
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.72%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.1%2026-04-23 02:50