La escuela de los momiosTijuana v Pachuca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tijuana (Local)
Predicción 41.12%2.43momio equitativo
EV +4.85%
Ventaja +1.90%
Kelly +3.13%
Crecimiento +0.152%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.31%40.79%41.34%42.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.292.252.5548.78%43.60%44.44%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pachuca (Visitante)
Predicción 32.00%3.12momio equitativo
EV +2.72%
Ventaja +0.848%
Kelly +1.23%
Crecimiento +0.034%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.09%32.35%31.81%35.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.482.792.753.2140.32%35.87%36.36%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.88%3.72momio equitativo
EV -0.810%
Ventaja -0.220%
Kelly -0.301%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.00%26.85%26.85%27.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.413.403.6931.75%29.31%29.41%27.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.36%EV +4.85%E +1.90%K +3.13%G +0.152% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.81%EV -14.88%E -5.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 02:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV +4.85%E +1.90%K +3.13%G +0.152% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90%EV -15.20%E -5.73%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 02:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV +4.85%E +1.90%K +3.13%G +0.152% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90%EV -15.20%E -5.73%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 02:39 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.84%E -6.02%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 02:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.84%E -6.02%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 02:42 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.84%E -6.02%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 02:42 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.84%E -6.02%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 02:42 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.84%E -6.02%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 02:42 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.84%E -6.02%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 02:42 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -16.80%E -6.46%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 02:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV +0.740%E +0.302%K +0.511%G +0.004% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -16.80%E -6.46%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 02:42 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -0.082%E -0.034%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -18.40%E -7.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 02:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -0.082%E -0.034%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -18.40%E -7.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 02:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -1.32%E -0.548%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 02:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -1.32%E -0.548%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -18.40%E -7.21%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.95%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 02:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.44%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -20.64%E -8.32%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-23 02:42 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.44%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -20.64%E -8.32%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-23 02:42 |
| 1xBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.71%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.30%EV -4.96%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.00%EV -0.810%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 02:43 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -8.80%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 02:44 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.40%E -3.71%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 02:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.62%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.61%EV -9.12%E -3.21%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -6.99%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.60%EV -6.66%E -2.93%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -0.797%E -0.257%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.21%EV -0.810%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| GTbets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.55%EV -7.07%E -3.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.14%EV -6.99%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.93%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.09%EV +2.72%E +0.848%K +1.23%G +0.034% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.98%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.93%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.09%EV +2.72%E +0.848%K +1.23%G +0.034% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.98%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 02:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.60%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 02:44 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 02:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -8.80%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.20%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 02:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-23 02:44 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-23 02:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -8.72%E -3.93%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -6.56%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -8.72%E -3.93%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -6.56%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 02:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 02:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.40%E -3.71%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 02:50 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -8.80%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.95%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -13.60%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -13.60%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-23 02:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -13.60%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -13.60%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-23 02:54 |
| Bovada | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -10.77%E -4.96%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -5.60%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 02:51 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -11.60%E -5.39%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.20%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 02:44 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -11.60%E -5.39%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -7.84%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 02:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.60%E -5.39%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 02:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.70%EV -13.65%E -6.50%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.61%EV -11.36%E -4.10%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.69%EV -11.83%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-23 02:48 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.65%E -6.50%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -13.60%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -9.95%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.50%EV -14.88%E -7.19%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.24%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.27%EV -15.33%E -4.87%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-23 02:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -15.71%E -7.66%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -10.40%E -3.71%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-23 02:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-04-23 02:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-04-23 02:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54% | 1.8% | 2026-04-23 02:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.72% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.08% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 02:50 |