مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tijuana v Pachuca

البداية: 2026-04-23 03:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Tijuana 3–1 Pachuca

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tijuana (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.12%2.43السعر العادل
EV +4.85%
الأفضلية +1.90%
Kelly +3.13%
النمو +0.152%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.31%40.79%41.34%42.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.292.252.5548.78%43.60%44.44%39.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Pachuca (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.00%3.12السعر العادل
EV +2.72%
الأفضلية +0.848%
Kelly +1.23%
النمو +0.034%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.09%32.35%31.81%35.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.482.792.753.2140.32%35.87%36.36%31.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.88%3.72السعر العادل
EV -0.810%
الأفضلية -0.220%
Kelly -0.301%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.00%26.85%26.85%27.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.153.413.403.6931.75%29.31%29.41%27.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.36%EV +4.85%E +1.90%K +3.13%G +0.152%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.81%EV -14.88%E -5.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 02:44
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV +4.85%E +1.90%K +3.13%G +0.152%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90%EV -15.20%E -5.73%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 02:39
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV +4.85%E +1.90%K +3.13%G +0.152%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90%EV -15.20%E -5.73%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 02:39
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.84%E -6.02%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 02:40
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.84%E -6.02%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 02:42
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.84%E -6.02%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 02:42
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.84%E -6.02%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 02:42
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.84%E -6.02%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 02:42
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.84%E -6.02%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 02:42
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV +1.97%E +0.796%K +1.33%G +0.026%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -16.80%E -6.46%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 02:39
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV +0.740%E +0.302%K +0.511%G +0.004%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -16.80%E -6.46%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 02:42
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -0.082%E -0.034%K -0.057%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -18.40%E -7.21%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 02:39
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -0.082%E -0.034%K -0.057%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -18.40%E -7.21%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 02:39
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -1.32%E -0.548%K -0.940%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 02:34
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -1.32%E -0.548%K -0.940%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -18.40%E -7.21%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -9.95%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 02:39
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.44%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -20.64%E -8.32%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 02:42
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 37.44%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.48%EV -20.64%E -8.32%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 02:42
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.71%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.30%EV -4.96%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.00%EV -0.810%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 02:55
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 02:43
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -8.80%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 02:44
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.40%E -3.71%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 02:44
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.62%EV -6.25%E -2.74%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.61%EV -9.12%E -3.21%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -6.99%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 02:55
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.60%EV -6.66%E -2.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -0.797%E -0.257%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.21%EV -0.810%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 02:55
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 41.55%EV -7.07%E -3.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.14%EV -6.99%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 02:49
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.93%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.09%EV +2.72%E +0.848%K +1.23%G +0.034%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.98%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 02:55
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.93%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.09%EV +2.72%E +0.848%K +1.23%G +0.034%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.98%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 02:50
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.60%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 02:49
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 02:44
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 02:44
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -8.80%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 02:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.20%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 02:55
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 02:55
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 02:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 02:44
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -7.48%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 02:44
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -8.72%E -3.93%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -6.56%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 02:55
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.92%EV -8.72%E -3.93%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -6.56%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 02:55
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.57%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 02:54
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -4.00%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 02:44
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.40%E -3.71%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.92%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 02:50
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -8.80%E -3.09%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.95%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 02:49
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -13.60%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 02:55
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -13.60%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 02:54
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -13.60%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 02:55
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -9.54%E -4.34%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -13.60%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 02:54
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -10.77%E -4.96%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -5.60%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.26%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 02:51
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -11.60%E -5.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -7.20%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 02:44
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -11.60%E -5.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -7.84%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.64%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 02:45
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.60%E -5.39%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.61%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 02:39
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.70%EV -13.65%E -6.50%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.61%EV -11.36%E -4.10%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.69%EV -11.83%E -3.61%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 02:48
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.65%E -6.50%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -13.60%E -5.04%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -9.95%E -2.97%K -4.23%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-23 02:49
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.50%EV -14.88%E -7.19%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.24%EV -12.00%E -4.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.27%EV -15.33%E -4.87%K -7.13%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 02:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -15.71%E -7.66%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -10.40%E -3.71%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-23 02:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-04-23 02:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-04-23 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-04-23 02:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-04-23 02:55
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%1.8%2026-04-23 02:55
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.72%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.1%2026-04-23 02:50