Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tijuana v Mazatlán FC

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tijuana (Local)

Prediction 64.59%1.55fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -2.97%
Kelly -9.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.43%64.70%64.71%67.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.421.421.4875.19%70.40%70.18%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mazatlán FC (Visit)

Prediction 14.53%6.88fair odd
EV +13.36%
Edge +1.71%
Kelly +1.97%
Growth +0.263%

assuming max odds 7.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.36%14.42%14.44%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.406.457.8018.18%15.63%15.50%12.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.87%4.79fair odd
EV -0.226%
Edge -0.047%
Kelly -0.060%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.77%20.88%20.85%22.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.404.504.7826.67%22.74%22.22%20.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tijuana (Local): 64.59%; Mazatlán FC (Visit): 14.53%; Draw: 20.87%. For Mazatlán FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.88. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +13.36%E +1.71%K +1.97%G +0.263%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.21%EV -0.434%E -0.091%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 02:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +13.36%E +1.71%K +1.97%G +0.263%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.21%EV -0.434%E -0.091%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 02:15
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.27%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.63I 13.11%NM 12.61%EV +10.89%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.179%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.12%EV -0.226%E -0.047%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 03:00
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.11%EV -6.99%E -4.85%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.39I 13.53%NM 12.88%EV +7.40%E +1.00%K +1.16%G +0.086%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.01%EV -5.44%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 03:55
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -6.34%E -4.37%K -14.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +1.74%E +0.248%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-20 05:35
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -8.28%E -5.83%K -19.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +1.74%E +0.248%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.98%E -0.866%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-20 05:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.36%EV -6.34%E -4.37%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV -1.90%E -0.281%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -3.98%E -0.866%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 07:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.36%EV -6.34%E -4.37%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV -1.90%E -0.281%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -3.98%E -0.866%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 07:34
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.90%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -1.90%E -0.281%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 03:54
GTbets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.71%EV -5.69%E -3.90%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -2.62%E -0.392%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.18%EV -6.91%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 03:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.34%E -4.37%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 03:55
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -6.99%E -4.85%K -15.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 03:55
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 07:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 07:35
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 07:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 07:34
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 07:35
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 03:55
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 07:34
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.28%E -5.83%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 07:34
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -6.34%E -4.37%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 03:54
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -10.24%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 03:54
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-20 05:35
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -8.28%E -5.83%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -12.15%E -8.94%K -33.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -8.16%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-22 02:14
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -5.69%E -3.90%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -7.11%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 03:55
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -5.69%E -3.90%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -7.11%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 03:54
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -8.92%E -6.33%K -21.77%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 07:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.37%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.37%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.37%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 05:35
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -6.99%E -4.85%K -15.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -0.852%E -0.179%K -0.227%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-20 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.17%EV -10.86%E -7.87%K -28.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -8.16%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 07:34
Fliff🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.29%EV -8.28%E -5.83%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.72%EV -9.89%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -9.20%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 03:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 64.49%EV -14.09%E -10.59%K -42.70%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.06%EV -11.34%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.44%EV -16.51%E -4.13%K -5.50%G +0.000%16.6%2026-02-22 03:55
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.83%EV -5.69%E -3.90%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.03I 16.58%NM 15.46%EV -12.36%E -2.05%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 02:15
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.99%E -4.85%K -15.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -10.24%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 03:54
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-20 05:35
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 03:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.15%EV -10.22%E -7.35%K -26.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.98%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 03:55
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -16.51%E -4.13%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 03:45
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -16.51%E -4.13%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 03:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -16.51%E -4.13%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 03:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -16.51%E -4.13%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 03:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.26%EV -8.28%E -5.83%K -19.71%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -14.25%E -2.42%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 03:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -4.40%E -2.97%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -16.43%E -2.86%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -9.20%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 03:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.06%E -3.65%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -9.62%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-20 20:55
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.06%E -3.65%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -9.62%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-20 20:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.45%EV -10.22%E -7.35%K -26.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.04%EV -20.06%E -3.65%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.51%EV -10.24%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-22 03:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -20.06%E -3.65%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -21.73%E -5.79%K -7.90%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-21 05:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%0.9%2026-02-22 03:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-02-22 03:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-02-22 03:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-02-22 03:55
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 65.82%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45%4.1%2026-02-22 03:55