L’École des cotes

Tijuana v Mazatlán FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 05:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tijuana (Local)

Prévision 64.59%1.55cote équitable
EV -4.40%
Avantage -2.97%
Kelly -9.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.43%64.70%64.71%67.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.421.421.4875.19%70.40%70.18%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mazatlán FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.53%6.88cote équitable
EV +13.36%
Avantage +1.71%
Kelly +1.97%
Croissance +0.263%

avec la cote maximale 7.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.36%14.42%14.44%16.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.406.457.8018.18%15.63%15.50%12.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.87%4.79cote équitable
EV -0.226%
Avantage -0.047%
Kelly -0.060%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.77%20.88%20.85%22.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.404.504.7826.67%22.74%22.22%20.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +13.36%E +1.71%K +1.97%G +0.263%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.21%EV -0.434%E -0.091%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 02:15
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +13.36%E +1.71%K +1.97%G +0.263%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.21%EV -0.434%E -0.091%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 02:15
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.27%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.63I 13.11%NM 12.61%EV +10.89%E +1.43%K +1.64%G +0.179%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.12%EV -0.226%E -0.047%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 03:00
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 66.11%EV -6.99%E -4.85%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.39I 13.53%NM 12.88%EV +7.40%E +1.00%K +1.16%G +0.086%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.01%EV -5.44%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 03:55
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -6.34%E -4.37%K -14.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +1.74%E +0.248%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-20 05:35
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -8.28%E -5.83%K -19.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +1.74%E +0.248%K +0.289%G +0.005%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.98%E -0.866%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-20 05:35
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.36%EV -6.34%E -4.37%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV -1.90%E -0.281%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -3.98%E -0.866%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 07:34
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.36%EV -6.34%E -4.37%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV -1.90%E -0.281%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -3.98%E -0.866%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 07:34
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 64.90%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -1.90%E -0.281%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 03:54
GTbets1.46I 68.49%NM 64.71%EV -5.69%E -3.90%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -2.62%E -0.392%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.18%EV -6.91%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 03:55
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.34%E -4.37%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 03:55
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -6.99%E -4.85%K -15.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 03:55
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 07:34
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 07:35
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 07:34
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 07:34
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 07:35
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 03:55
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 07:34
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.28%E -5.83%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 07:34
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -6.34%E -4.37%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 03:54
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -7.63%E -5.34%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -10.24%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 03:54
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-20 05:35
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -8.28%E -5.83%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -12.15%E -8.94%K -33.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -5.53%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -8.16%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-22 02:14
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -5.69%E -3.90%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -7.11%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 03:55
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -5.69%E -3.90%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -7.11%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 03:54
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -8.92%E -6.33%K -21.77%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 07:34
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.37%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.37%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 65.37%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -6.98%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 05:35
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -6.99%E -4.85%K -15.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -0.852%E -0.179%K -0.227%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-20 20:55
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.17%EV -10.86%E -7.87%K -28.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -9.16%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -8.16%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 07:34
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 64.29%EV -8.28%E -5.83%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.72%EV -9.89%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -9.20%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 03:55
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.49%EV -14.09%E -10.59%K -42.70%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.06%EV -11.34%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.44%EV -16.51%E -4.13%K -5.50%G +0.000%16.6%2026-02-22 03:55
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.83%EV -5.69%E -3.90%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.03I 16.58%NM 15.46%EV -12.36%E -2.05%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 02:15
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.99%E -4.85%K -15.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -10.24%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 03:54
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-20 05:35
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.33%E -2.94%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 03:54
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.15%EV -10.22%E -7.35%K -26.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.98%EV -11.29%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 03:55
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -16.51%E -4.13%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 03:45
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -16.51%E -4.13%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 03:45
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -16.51%E -4.13%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 03:45
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -12.80%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -16.51%E -4.13%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 03:45
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.26%EV -8.28%E -5.83%K -19.71%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -14.25%E -2.42%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 03:55
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -4.40%E -2.97%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -16.43%E -2.86%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -9.20%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 03:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.06%E -3.65%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -9.62%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-20 20:55
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -20.06%E -3.65%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -9.62%E -2.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-20 20:55
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.45%EV -10.22%E -7.35%K -26.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.04%EV -20.06%E -3.65%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.51%EV -10.24%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-22 03:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -9.57%E -6.84%K -23.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -20.06%E -3.65%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -21.73%E -5.79%K -7.90%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-21 05:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%0.9%2026-02-22 03:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-02-22 03:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-02-22 03:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.4%2026-02-22 03:55
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 65.82%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45%4.1%2026-02-22 03:55