Language:English
Santos Laguna v Tigres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Santos Laguna (Local)
Prediction 21.85%4.58fair odd
EV -0.380%
Edge -0.083%
Kelly -0.107%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.86%21.80%21.84%22.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.224.254.5625.97%23.68%23.53%21.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tigres (Visit)
Prediction 53.75%1.86fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -4.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.95%53.70%53.71%55.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.711.701.8062.50%58.58%58.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.41%4.10fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.467%
Kelly -0.622%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.53%24.50%24.45%26.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.733.754.0229.41%26.78%26.67%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Santos Laguna (Local): 21.85%; Tigres (Visit): 53.75%; Draw: 24.41%. For Santos Laguna (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.56, with an expected value of -0.380%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.16%EV -0.380%E -0.083%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.83%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.01%EV -1.88%E -0.467%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 02:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.16%EV -0.380%E -0.083%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.83%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.01%EV -1.88%E -0.467%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 02:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.67%EV -2.56%E -0.575%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.99%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.34%EV -3.10%E -0.781%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 02:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.38%EV -3.44%E -0.778%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.32%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.30%EV -5.05%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 02:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -3.87%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.81%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 03:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.87%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.03%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 02:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.87%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.03%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 02:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.87%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -8.10%E -4.73%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.81%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 03:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.87%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -9.17%E -5.43%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.81%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 03:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.87%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -11.32%E -6.86%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 03:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.28%EV -5.40%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.60%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.12%EV -2.37%E -0.592%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 03:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.40%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 03:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.40%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 02:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.40%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 03:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -2.37%E -0.592%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 02:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 02:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 02:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 02:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 02:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 02:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 02:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-30 02:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.70%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 03:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.63%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.54%EV -7.74%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 02:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 03:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -15.79%E -4.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-30 03:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -15.79%E -4.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-30 03:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.04%EV -7.59%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.29%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -7.74%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 02:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.24%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 03:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.24%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.31%EV -9.17%E -5.43%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -6.03%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 03:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.24%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.97%EV -9.17%E -5.43%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 03:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.24%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -10.25%E -6.14%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 03:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.24%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -10.25%E -6.14%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 03:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.05%EV -9.34%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.21%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 03:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -10.43%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.77%EV -10.78%E -6.50%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 02:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -10.43%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.74%EV -11.32%E -6.86%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 02:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -10.43%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.74%EV -11.32%E -6.86%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 02:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -10.43%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.74%EV -11.32%E -6.86%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 02:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.61%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.25%E -6.14%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 03:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -12.61%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.25%E -6.14%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 03:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.61%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.57%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 03:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.61%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.57%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 03:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.61%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.57%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 03:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.61%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.57%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -12.61%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.25%E -6.14%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 03:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -12.61%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.25%E -6.14%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 03:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -12.61%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -17.01%E -5.00%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-30 03:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.75%EV -13.71%E -3.47%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.70%EV -14.01%E -8.75%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -14.57%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-08-30 02:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.71%EV -15.89%E -4.13%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.00%EV -11.32%E -6.86%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-30 03:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.92% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.84% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.23% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.93% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.38% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.85% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.23% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 03:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 03:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 03:13 |