Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Santos Laguna v Tigres

Início: 2026-08-30 03:17 UTC

Final: Santos Laguna 0–0 Tigres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Santos Laguna (Local)

Previsão 21.85%4.58odd justa
EV -0.380%
Vantagem -0.083%
Kelly -0.107%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.86%21.80%21.84%22.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.854.224.254.5625.97%23.68%23.53%21.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tigres (Visitante)

Previsão 53.75%1.86odd justa
EV -3.26%
Vantagem -1.81%
Kelly -4.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.95%53.70%53.71%55.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.711.701.8062.50%58.58%58.82%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.41%4.10odd justa
EV -1.88%
Vantagem -0.467%
Kelly -0.622%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.53%24.50%24.45%26.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.733.754.0229.41%26.78%26.67%24.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Santos Laguna (Local): 21.85%; Tigres (Visitante): 53.75%; Empate: 24.41%. Para Santos Laguna (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.58. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.56, com valor esperado de -0.380%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯4.56I 21.93%NM 21.16%EV -0.380%E -0.083%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.83%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.01%EV -1.88%E -0.467%K -0.622%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 02:39
LowVig.ag🎯4.56I 21.93%NM 21.16%EV -0.380%E -0.083%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.83%EV -5.41%E -3.07%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.01%EV -1.88%E -0.467%K -0.622%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 02:40
Pinnacle🎯4.46I 22.42%NM 21.67%EV -2.56%E -0.575%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.99%EV -3.80%E -2.12%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.34%EV -3.10%E -0.781%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 02:55
GTbets🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.38%EV -3.44%E -0.778%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.32%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.30%EV -5.05%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 02:30
BetUS🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -3.87%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -6.48%E -3.73%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.81%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 03:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.87%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.03%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 02:35
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.87%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.03%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 02:39
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.87%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -8.10%E -4.73%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.81%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 03:09
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.87%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -9.17%E -5.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.81%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 03:09
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.87%E -0.881%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -11.32%E -6.86%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 03:09
Coolbet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 22.28%EV -5.40%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.60%EV -3.26%E -1.81%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.12%EV -2.37%E -0.592%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 03:15
Bet Victor🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.40%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 03:10
betano_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.40%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 02:59
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.40%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 03:10
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -2.37%E -0.592%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 02:30
Unibet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 02:40
BetRivers🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 02:40
Unibet (NL)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 02:35
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 02:35
Grosvenor🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 02:35
Unibet (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 02:35
betPARX🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.06%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 02:35
Unibet (UK)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.70%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 03:04
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.63%EV -7.02%E -4.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.54%EV -7.74%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 02:25
PlayUp🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 03:05
NordicBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -15.79%E -4.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 03:15
Betsson🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -7.15%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -15.79%E -4.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 03:15
1xBet🎯4.23I 23.64%NM 22.04%EV -7.59%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.29%EV -5.95%E -3.40%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -7.74%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 02:30
DraftKings🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.24%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -4.87%E -2.75%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 03:10
Bet Right🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.24%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.31%EV -9.17%E -5.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -6.03%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 03:09
Fliff🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.24%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.97%EV -9.17%E -5.43%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 03:15
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.24%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -10.25%E -6.14%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 03:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.24%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -10.25%E -6.14%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.25%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 03:10
LeoVegas🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.05%EV -9.34%E -2.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.21%EV -7.56%E -4.39%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 03:15
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -10.43%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.77%EV -10.78%E -6.50%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 02:35
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -10.43%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.74%EV -11.32%E -6.86%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 02:35
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -10.43%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.74%EV -11.32%E -6.86%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 02:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -10.43%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.74%EV -11.32%E -6.86%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 02:35
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.61%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.25%E -6.14%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -8.47%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 03:09
Betclic (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -12.61%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.25%E -6.14%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 03:05
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.61%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.57%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 03:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.61%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.57%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 03:09
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.61%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.57%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 03:09
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.61%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.57%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 19:15
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -12.61%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.25%E -6.14%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 03:10
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -12.61%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.25%E -6.14%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 03:09
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -12.61%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -8.63%E -5.08%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -17.01%E -5.00%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-30 03:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 21.75%EV -13.71%E -3.47%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 53.70%EV -14.01%E -8.75%K -23.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -14.57%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-30 02:35
NetBet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 22.71%EV -15.89%E -4.13%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.00%EV -11.32%E -6.86%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-30 03:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.92%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-08-30 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 19.84%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.93%2.9%2026-08-30 03:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.85%3.2%2026-08-30 03:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.23%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%4.1%2026-08-30 03:15
Matchbook◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.44%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%4.1%2026-08-30 03:15
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%6.8%2026-08-30 03:13