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Santos Laguna v León

2026-11-21 23:00 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Santos Laguna (Local)

Prediction 38.38%2.61fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.840%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.14%38.24%38.33%38.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.402.5544.44%41.80%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

León (Visit)

Prediction 35.88%2.79fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.21%35.89%35.95%36.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.532.7041.67%39.36%39.53%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.74%3.88fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -0.713%
Kelly -0.970%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.25%25.87%25.72%26.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.503.7830.77%28.72%28.57%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Santos Laguna (Local): 38.38%; León (Visit): 35.88%; Draw: 25.74%. For Santos Laguna (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.55, with an expected value of -2.14%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.10%EV -2.14%E -0.840%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.99%EV -3.12%E -1.15%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.91%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-13 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.10%EV -2.14%E -0.840%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.99%EV -3.12%E -1.15%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.91%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-13 15:15
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18%EV -4.06%E -1.62%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.57%EV -6.35%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.25%EV -2.70%E -0.713%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-13 14:40
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -5.98%E -2.44%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -8.50%E -3.33%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -11.19%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-13 14:39
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -5.98%E -2.44%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -8.50%E -3.33%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -11.19%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-13 14:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.19%EV -7.52%E -3.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.38%EV -9.22%E -3.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.43%EV -6.81%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-13 14:40
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.19%EV -7.52%E -3.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.38%EV -9.22%E -3.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.43%EV -6.81%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-13 14:39
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-13 14:40
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-13 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-13 15:15
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-13 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-13 15:15
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-13 15:15
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-13 15:14
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.67%E -3.64%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.29%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-13 14:40
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.14%EV -8.67%E -3.64%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.08%EV -12.09%E -4.93%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-13 14:39
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.14%EV -8.67%E -3.64%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.08%EV -12.09%E -4.93%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-13 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.14%EV -8.67%E -3.64%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.08%EV -12.09%E -4.93%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-13 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.14%EV -8.67%E -3.64%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.08%EV -12.09%E -4.93%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-13 14:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -9.82%E -4.18%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -8.50%E -3.33%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-13 14:54
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.43%EV -9.82%E -4.18%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.29%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-13 14:39
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -9.82%E -4.18%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -10.29%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -9.82%E -4.18%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -10.29%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-13 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -9.82%E -4.18%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -10.29%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-13 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.95%EV -10.59%E -4.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.65%EV -11.01%E -4.44%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -13.76%E -4.11%K -5.86%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-13 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -13.66%E -6.07%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -12.09%E -4.93%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -11.19%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-13 14:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.03%EV -13.66%E -6.07%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.65%EV -13.88%E -5.78%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -16.34%E -5.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-13 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%2.0%2026-11-13 22:35
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 37.96%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.00%16.6%2026-11-13 14:40