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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Santos Laguna v León

2026-11-21 23:00 UTC — Liga MX

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Santos Laguna (主队)

预测 38.38%2.61公平赔率
EV -2.14%
优势 -0.840%
Kelly -1.38%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
37.14%38.24%38.33%38.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.392.402.5544.44%41.80%41.67%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

León (客队)

预测 35.88%2.79公平赔率
EV -3.12%
优势 -1.15%
Kelly -1.83%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
35.21%35.89%35.95%36.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.542.532.7041.67%39.36%39.53%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.74%3.88公平赔率
EV -2.70%
优势 -0.713%
Kelly -0.970%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.78

博彩公司预测分布
25.25%25.87%25.72%26.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.483.503.7830.77%28.72%28.57%26.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Santos Laguna (主队)：38.38%；León (客队)：35.88%；平局：25.74%。 对于“Santos Laguna (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.61。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.55，期望值为-2.14%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.10%EV -2.14%E -0.840%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.99%EV -3.12%E -1.15%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.91%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-13 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.10%EV -2.14%E -0.840%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.99%EV -3.12%E -1.15%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.91%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-13 15:15
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.18%EV -4.06%E -1.62%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.57%EV -6.35%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.25%EV -2.70%E -0.713%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-13 14:40
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -5.98%E -2.44%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -8.50%E -3.33%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -11.19%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-13 14:39
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -5.98%E -2.44%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -8.50%E -3.33%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -11.19%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-13 14:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.19%EV -7.52%E -3.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.38%EV -9.22%E -3.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.43%EV -6.81%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-13 14:40
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.19%EV -7.52%E -3.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.38%EV -9.22%E -3.64%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.43%EV -6.81%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-13 14:39
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-13 14:40
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-13 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-13 15:15
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-13 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-13 15:15
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-13 15:15
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-13 15:14
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.67%E -3.64%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.29%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-13 14:40
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.14%EV -8.67%E -3.64%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.08%EV -12.09%E -4.93%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-13 14:39
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.14%EV -8.67%E -3.64%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.08%EV -12.09%E -4.93%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-13 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.14%EV -8.67%E -3.64%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.08%EV -12.09%E -4.93%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-13 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.14%EV -8.67%E -3.64%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.08%EV -12.09%E -4.93%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-13 14:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -9.82%E -4.18%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -8.50%E -3.33%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-13 14:54
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.43%EV -9.82%E -4.18%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.29%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-13 14:39
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -9.82%E -4.18%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -10.29%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-13 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -9.82%E -4.18%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -10.29%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-13 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -9.82%E -4.18%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -10.29%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-13 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.95%EV -10.59%E -4.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.65%EV -11.01%E -4.44%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -13.76%E -4.11%K -5.86%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-13 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -13.66%E -6.07%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -12.09%E -4.93%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -11.19%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-13 14:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.03%EV -13.66%E -6.07%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.65%EV -13.88%E -5.78%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -16.34%E -5.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-13 15:15
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%2.0%2026-11-13 22:35
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 37.96%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.00%16.6%2026-11-13 14:40