Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 3.87
assuming max odds 3.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Santos Laguna (Local): 47.00%; FC Juárez (Visit): 26.60%; Draw: 26.40%. For FC Juárez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.93%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.27%EV -6.47%E -3.25%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.82%EV +2.93%E +0.757%K +1.02%G +0.030% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91%EV -5.74%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.64%EV -4.59%E -2.26%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.86%EV -0.528%E -0.141%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.50%EV -3.62%E -0.993%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35%EV -4.12%E -2.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.97%EV -1.06%E -0.285%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.68%EV -4.42%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35%EV -4.12%E -2.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.97%EV -1.06%E -0.285%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.68%EV -4.42%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35%EV -4.12%E -2.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.97%EV -1.06%E -0.285%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.68%EV -4.42%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.42%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.58%EV -1.06%E -0.285%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.94%E -3.51%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-14 00:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.94%E -3.51%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-14 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.94%E -3.51%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-14 00:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.70%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.28%EV -6.65%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.02%EV -2.83%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-13 08:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 00:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-14 00:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.04%EV -9.29%E -4.81%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -3.89%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.70%E -5.63%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 00:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29%EV -6.47%E -3.25%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43%EV -2.30%E -0.623%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -2.30%E -0.623%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.30%E -0.623%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -6.94%E -3.51%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.90%E -3.25%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-14 00:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.23%E -5.36%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 22:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -11.64%E -6.19%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-14 00:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -18.15%E -5.85%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-14 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.42%EV -11.17%E -5.91%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.83%EV -13.03%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.75%EV -13.39%E -4.08%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-14 00:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.23%E -5.36%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 05:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -12.11%E -6.48%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -1.30%E -0.620%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -14.89%E -4.65%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -1.30%E -0.620%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -14.89%E -4.65%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 00:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -14.89%E -4.65%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -2.71%E -1.31%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 00:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -2.71%E -1.31%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 00:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -2.71%E -1.31%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -2.71%E -1.31%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -2.71%E -1.31%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -2.71%E -1.31%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 00:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -2.71%E -1.31%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 00:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.32%EV -5.06%E -2.51%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -18.88%E -6.19%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 00:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.32%EV -5.06%E -2.51%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -18.88%E -6.19%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.32%EV -5.06%E -2.51%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -18.88%E -6.19%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -20.21%E -6.74%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-14 00:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.26%EV -9.29%E -4.81%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.46%EV -22.87%E -7.89%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.28%EV -14.19%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-09-14 00:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27% | 1.5% | 2026-09-14 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 2.0% | 2026-09-14 00:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08% | 2.2% | 2026-09-14 00:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08% | 2.2% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.96% | 2.7% | 2026-09-14 00:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 3.1% | 2026-09-14 00:50 |