Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Santos Laguna v FC Juárez

Início: 2026-09-14 01:00 UTC

Final: Santos Laguna 2–1 FC Juárez

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Santos Laguna (Local)

Previsão 47.00%2.13odd justa
EV -1.30%
Vantagem -0.620%
Kelly -1.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.26%46.85%46.75%48.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.992.002.1053.48%50.15%50.00%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Juárez (Visitante)

Previsão 26.60%3.76odd justa
EV +2.93%
Vantagem +0.757%
Kelly +1.02%
Crescimento +0.030%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.82%26.81%26.63%29.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.343.303.8734.48%29.98%30.30%25.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.40%3.79odd justa
EV -2.30%
Vantagem -0.623%
Kelly -0.853%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.80%26.34%26.62%28.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.503.503.7032.26%28.61%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Santos Laguna (Local): 47.00%; FC Juárez (Visitante): 26.60%; Empate: 26.40%. Para FC Juárez (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.76. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.87, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.93%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.27%EV -6.47%E -3.25%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.82%EV +2.93%E +0.757%K +1.02%G +0.030%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91%EV -5.74%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 00:50
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.64%EV -4.59%E -2.26%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.86%EV -0.528%E -0.141%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.50%EV -3.62%E -0.993%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-14 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35%EV -4.12%E -2.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.97%EV -1.06%E -0.285%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.68%EV -4.42%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35%EV -4.12%E -2.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.97%EV -1.06%E -0.285%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.68%EV -4.42%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 23:00
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.35%EV -4.12%E -2.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.97%EV -1.06%E -0.285%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.68%EV -4.42%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 23:00
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.42%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.58%EV -1.06%E -0.285%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 13:45
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 00:10
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.94%E -3.51%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 00:45
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.94%E -3.51%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 00:45
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.94%E -3.51%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 00:45
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.70%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.28%EV -6.65%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.02%EV -2.83%E -0.769%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 08:20
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 00:20
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 00:55
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 00:55
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 00:46
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.04%EV -9.29%E -4.81%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -3.89%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 00:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.70%E -5.63%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 00:40
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29%EV -6.47%E -3.25%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43%EV -2.30%E -0.623%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 05:45
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -2.30%E -0.623%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 05:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.30%E -0.623%K -0.853%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 05:45
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -6.94%E -3.51%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-14 00:55
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.90%E -3.25%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-14 00:40
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.23%E -5.36%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 22:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -11.64%E -6.19%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-14 00:40
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -18.15%E -5.85%K -8.64%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-14 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.42%EV -11.17%E -5.91%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.83%EV -13.03%E -3.98%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.75%EV -13.39%E -4.08%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-14 00:34
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.23%E -5.36%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 05:45
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -12.11%E -6.48%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 00:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -1.30%E -0.620%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -14.89%E -4.65%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -1.30%E -0.620%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -14.89%E -4.65%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 00:05
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -14.89%E -4.65%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -6.26%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 00:50
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -2.71%E -1.31%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 00:25
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -2.71%E -1.31%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 00:24
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -2.71%E -1.31%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 00:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -2.71%E -1.31%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 00:25
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -2.71%E -1.31%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -2.71%E -1.31%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 00:25
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.26%EV -2.71%E -1.31%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 00:25
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.58%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 00:50
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-14 00:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-14 00:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -17.55%E -5.66%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-14 00:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.32%EV -5.06%E -2.51%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -18.88%E -6.19%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 00:05
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.32%EV -5.06%E -2.51%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -18.88%E -6.19%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.32%EV -5.06%E -2.51%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -18.88%E -6.19%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -20.21%E -6.74%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-14 00:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 44.26%EV -9.29%E -4.81%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.46%EV -22.87%E -7.89%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.28%EV -14.19%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-14 00:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-09-14 00:55
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-09-14 00:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08%2.2%2026-09-14 00:46
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08%2.2%2026-09-14 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.96%2.7%2026-09-14 00:56
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-09-14 00:50