Language:English
Querétaro v Santos Laguna
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Querétaro (Local)
Prediction 48.64%2.06fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -3.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.09%48.65%48.56%50.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.881.871.9857.80%53.29%53.48%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Santos Laguna (Visit)
Prediction 25.13%3.98fair odd
EV +0.523%
Edge +0.131%
Kelly +0.174%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.74%25.13%25.22%26.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.703.754.0029.85%26.99%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.23%3.81fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.439%
Kelly -0.598%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.11%26.21%26.22%27.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.533.553.7530.77%28.32%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Querétaro (Local): 48.64%; Santos Laguna (Visit): 25.13%; Draw: 26.23%. For Santos Laguna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.523%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.24%EV -8.07%E -4.27%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV +0.523%E +0.131%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.02%EV -4.27%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.33%EV -4.66%E -2.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.48%EV -0.733%E -0.186%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -3.22%E -0.872%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 00:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.33%EV -4.66%E -2.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.48%EV -0.733%E -0.186%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -3.22%E -0.872%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -9.04%E -4.83%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -0.733%E -0.186%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.64%E -0.439%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 00:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -9.04%E -4.83%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -0.733%E -0.186%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.64%E -0.439%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 00:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.74%EV -3.69%E -1.86%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -1.99%E -0.510%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.51%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -1.99%E -0.510%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 00:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.58%E -3.99%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -1.99%E -0.510%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 00:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -2.96%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -2.96%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 00:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -2.96%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 00:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -2.96%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 00:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -2.96%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 00:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -2.96%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 00:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -11.47%E -6.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.27%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 00:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.96%E -6.61%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.27%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 00:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.49%EV -3.69%E -1.86%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.20%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -4.27%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.50%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 00:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.50%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 00:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -9.04%E -4.83%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -4.50%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 00:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.81%EV -12.93%E -7.22%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -4.50%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 00:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.81%EV -12.93%E -7.22%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -4.50%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 00:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 00:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -13.91%E -7.86%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.80%EV -6.01%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.65%EV -8.73%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.29%EV -6.26%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.35%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 00:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 00:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.58%E -3.99%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 00:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -7.58%E -3.99%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 00:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.86%EV -9.04%E -4.83%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.81%EV -15.85%E -9.16%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-28 00:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.01%E -5.41%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.45%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 00:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -3.69%E -1.86%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 00:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -3.69%E -1.86%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 00:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 00:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-27 23:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -10.01%E -5.41%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-28 00:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -10.01%E -5.41%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-28 00:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -10.01%E -5.41%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-28 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -10.01%E -5.41%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-28 00:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.50%EV -11.96%E -6.61%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -13.30%E -3.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.05%EV -11.61%E -3.45%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-28 00:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 48.42%EV -13.91%E -7.86%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.21%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -11.47%E -6.30%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -15.81%E -4.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-28 00:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 00:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.37% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.84% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78% | 2.3% | 2026-02-28 00:45 |