La escuela de los momios

Querétaro v Santos Laguna

Inicio: 2026-02-28 01:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Querétaro (Local)

Predicción 48.64%2.06momio equitativo
EV -3.69%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -3.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.09%48.65%48.56%50.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.881.871.9857.80%53.29%53.48%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Santos Laguna (Visitante)

Predicción 25.13%3.98momio equitativo
EV +0.523%
Ventaja +0.131%
Kelly +0.174%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.74%25.13%25.22%26.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.703.754.0029.85%26.99%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.23%3.81momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.439%
Kelly -0.598%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.11%26.21%26.22%27.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.533.553.7530.77%28.32%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.24%EV -8.07%E -4.27%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV +0.523%E +0.131%K +0.174%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.02%EV -4.27%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 23:30
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.33%EV -4.66%E -2.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.48%EV -0.733%E -0.186%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -3.22%E -0.872%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 00:15
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.33%EV -4.66%E -2.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.48%EV -0.733%E -0.186%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -3.22%E -0.872%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 00:15
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -9.04%E -4.83%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -0.733%E -0.186%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.64%E -0.439%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 00:30
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -9.04%E -4.83%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -0.733%E -0.186%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.64%E -0.439%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 00:29
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.74%EV -3.69%E -1.86%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -1.99%E -0.510%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.51%EV -4.53%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 00:49
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -1.99%E -0.510%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 00:44
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.58%E -3.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -1.99%E -0.510%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 00:45
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -2.96%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -2.96%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -2.96%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 00:29
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -2.96%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 00:29
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -2.96%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 00:29
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -2.96%E -0.799%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 00:29
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -11.47%E -6.30%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -4.27%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 00:29
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.96%E -6.61%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -3.25%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.27%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 00:29
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.49%EV -3.69%E -1.86%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.20%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -4.27%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 00:49
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.50%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 00:44
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.50%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 00:30
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -9.04%E -4.83%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -4.50%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 00:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.81%EV -12.93%E -7.22%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -4.50%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 00:29
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.81%EV -12.93%E -7.22%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -4.50%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 00:30
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 00:15
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 00:15
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -13.91%E -7.86%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 00:29
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.80%EV -6.01%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.65%EV -8.73%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 00:54
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.29%EV -6.26%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.35%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 00:48
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 00:44
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.58%E -3.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 00:14
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -7.58%E -3.99%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 00:44
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 48.86%EV -9.04%E -4.83%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 00:49
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 50.81%EV -15.85%E -9.16%K -21.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -8.27%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 00:30
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 00:54
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 00:49
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.01%E -5.41%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.45%E -4.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 00:44
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -3.69%E -1.86%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 00:45
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -3.69%E -1.86%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 00:44
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.15%E -2.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.20%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 00:09
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.55%E -4.55%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.58%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 00:15
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.99%E -6.00%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-27 23:14
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -10.01%E -5.41%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-28 00:09
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -10.01%E -5.41%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-28 00:09
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -10.01%E -5.41%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-28 00:09
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -10.01%E -5.41%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-28 00:09
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.50%EV -11.96%E -6.61%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -13.30%E -3.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.05%EV -11.61%E -3.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 00:49
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.82%E -3.18%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 00:49
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 48.42%EV -13.91%E -7.86%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.21%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -14.76%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000%16.7%2026-02-28 00:49
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -11.47%E -6.30%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -15.81%E -4.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 00:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-02-28 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-02-28 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-02-28 00:45
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-02-28 00:49
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78%2.3%2026-02-28 00:45