Language:English
Querétaro v Monterrey
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Querétaro (Local)
Prediction 29.48%3.39fair odd
EV +0.226%
Edge +0.067%
Kelly +0.094%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.63%29.30%29.49%30.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.113.103.4035.09%32.12%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Monterrey (Visit)
Prediction 44.85%2.23fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -3.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%44.96%44.93%46.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.042.052.1352.36%49.03%48.78%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.67%3.90fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -0.997%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.48%25.74%25.59%26.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.553.603.7530.30%28.13%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Querétaro (Local): 29.48%; Monterrey (Visit): 44.85%; Draw: 25.67%. For Querétaro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.226%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV +0.226%E +0.067%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 05:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -1.25%E -0.372%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.91%EV -10.74%E -5.40%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 05:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.88%EV -1.54%E -0.462%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.10%EV -9.40%E -4.65%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.01%EV -8.10%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -2.72%E -0.825%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.74%E -0.997%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.72%E -0.825%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -2.72%E -0.825%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.74%E -0.997%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 05:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -2.72%E -0.825%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -12.54%E -6.43%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 05:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.36%EV -4.49%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.87%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.78%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.84%EV -4.79%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.00%EV -7.16%E -3.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.16%EV -8.62%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 12:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -5.08%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -8.62%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -4.47%E -2.10%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.53%EV -4.25%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -4.47%E -2.10%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.53%EV -4.25%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 13:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -4.47%E -2.10%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.53%EV -4.25%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 13:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.30%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.14%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -11.44%E -3.32%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.14%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -11.44%E -3.32%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -6.30%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -6.30%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 23:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 10:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 07:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 23:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-01 11:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -14.33%E -7.50%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-03 05:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -7.16%E -3.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -7.16%E -3.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -7.16%E -3.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -7.16%E -3.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -7.16%E -3.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -7.16%E -3.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -7.16%E -3.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.45%EV -10.98%E -3.63%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.14%EV -11.64%E -5.91%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 23:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -14.33%E -7.50%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.29%E -4.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.29%E -4.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.29%E -4.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.29%E -4.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.27%EV -13.04%E -4.42%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.21%EV -9.40%E -4.65%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -13.04%E -4.42%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -11.44%E -3.32%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -13.04%E -4.42%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -11.44%E -3.32%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -13.04%E -4.42%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -11.44%E -3.32%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -13.04%E -4.42%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.91%EV -10.74%E -5.40%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -15.29%E -4.63%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.05%EV -15.99%E -5.61%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.38%EV -13.44%E -6.96%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.57%EV -14.01%E -4.18%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.75% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.78% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 04:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.06% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.06% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 05:05 |