Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Querétaro v Monterrey

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Querétaro (Local)

Prévision 29.48%3.39cote équitable
EV +0.226%
Avantage +0.067%
Kelly +0.094%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.63%29.30%29.49%30.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.113.103.4035.09%32.12%32.26%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Monterrey (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.85%2.23cote équitable
EV -4.47%
Avantage -2.10%
Kelly -3.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.72%44.96%44.93%46.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.042.052.1352.36%49.03%48.78%46.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.67%3.90cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -0.997%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.48%25.74%25.59%26.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.553.603.7530.30%28.13%27.78%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Querétaro (Local) : 29.48% ; Monterrey (Visiteur) : 44.85% ; Match nul : 25.67%. Pour Querétaro (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.39. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.40, soit une espérance positive de +0.226%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV +0.226%E +0.067%K +0.094%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 05:49
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -1.25%E -0.372%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.91%EV -10.74%E -5.40%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -5.02%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 05:49
GTbets🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 27.88%EV -1.54%E -0.462%K -0.659%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.10%EV -9.40%E -4.65%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.01%EV -8.10%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 19:25
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -2.72%E -0.825%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.74%E -0.997%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 11:40
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.72%E -0.825%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -2.72%E -0.825%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.74%E -0.997%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 05:49
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -2.72%E -0.825%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -12.54%E -6.43%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 05:50
Pinnacle🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.36%EV -4.49%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.87%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.78%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 15:05
1xBet🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 28.84%EV -4.79%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.00%EV -7.16%E -3.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.16%EV -8.62%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 12:44
Marathon Bet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -5.08%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -8.62%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 12:39
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -4.47%E -2.10%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.53%EV -4.25%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 13:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -4.47%E -2.10%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.53%EV -4.25%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 13:25
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -4.47%E -2.10%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.53%EV -4.25%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 13:25
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.30%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 23:00
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 11:40
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.14%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -11.44%E -3.32%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 15:05
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.14%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -11.44%E -3.32%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -6.30%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -6.30%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 23:15
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 18:35
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 10:09
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 07:20
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 15:05
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 23:15
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-01 11:39
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 10:25
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -14.33%E -7.50%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 05:50
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -7.16%E -3.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 13:40
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -7.16%E -3.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 13:40
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -7.16%E -3.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -7.16%E -3.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -7.16%E -3.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 13:40
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -7.16%E -3.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 13:40
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -7.16%E -3.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 13:40
Betclic (FR)🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 29.45%EV -10.98%E -3.63%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.14%EV -11.64%E -5.91%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 23:15
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -14.33%E -7.50%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-04 12:20
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.29%E -4.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-02 15:05
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.29%E -4.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-02 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.29%E -4.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-02 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.29%E -4.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-02 15:05
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.27%EV -13.04%E -4.42%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.21%EV -9.40%E -4.65%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -10.16%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -13.04%E -4.42%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -11.44%E -3.32%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -13.04%E -4.42%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -11.44%E -3.32%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -13.04%E -4.42%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -11.44%E -3.32%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 13:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -13.04%E -4.42%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.91%EV -10.74%E -5.40%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -15.29%E -4.63%K -6.65%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-03 13:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.05%EV -15.99%E -5.61%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.38%EV -13.44%E -6.96%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.57%EV -14.01%E -4.18%K -5.96%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-02 13:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.75%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-09-04 13:15
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 29.78%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%3.3%2026-09-03 04:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.06%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%3.7%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.22%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.06%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%3.7%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%6.1%2026-09-04 13:40
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%8.8%2026-09-03 05:05