Language:English
Querétaro v León
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Querétaro (Local)
Prediction 33.40%2.99fair odd
EV +3.54%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.68%
Growth +0.060%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.02%33.48%33.36%36.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.692.703.1042.92%37.23%37.04%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
León (Visit)
Prediction 38.92%2.57fair odd
EV +1.20%
Edge +0.461%
Kelly +0.749%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.74%38.79%38.96%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.412.402.6045.05%41.47%41.67%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.68%3.61fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -0.893%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.00%27.73%27.68%29.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.313.353.5033.33%30.20%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Querétaro (Local): 33.40%; León (Visit): 38.92%; Draw: 27.68%. For Querétaro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.54%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%EV +3.54%E +1.14%K +1.68%G +0.060% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.10%EV -8.92%E -3.81%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.88%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-21 01:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -2.47%E -0.847%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.76%EV -6.98%E -2.92%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.70%EV -5.06%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-21 01:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.28%EV -2.81%E -0.965%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.89%EV -3.08%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.83%EV -3.68%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-21 02:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.62%EV -3.81%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -3.13%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-21 02:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -4.81%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -1.53%E -0.603%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV -4.23%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-21 01:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -4.81%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -1.53%E -0.603%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV -4.23%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-21 01:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.81%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 01:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.81%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -12.42%E -5.52%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-21 02:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-21 02:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-21 01:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-21 01:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-21 02:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.36%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-21 01:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.36%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-21 02:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.36%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-21 01:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-21 02:07 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-21 02:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-21 01:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-21 01:33 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-21 02:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -12.42%E -5.52%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -16.97%E -5.66%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-21 02:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -12.42%E -5.52%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -16.97%E -5.66%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-21 02:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -12.42%E -5.52%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -16.97%E -5.66%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-21 02:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.03%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-21 01:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-21 02:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-21 02:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-21 01:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-21 02:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-21 02:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -16.97%E -5.66%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-21 02:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.93%EV -10.82%E -4.05%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.60%EV -13.59%E -6.12%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-21 01:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -11.49%E -4.34%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.42%E -5.52%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -12.81%E -4.07%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-21 02:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.49%E -4.77%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-21 01:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -13.16%E -5.06%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-21 02:07 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -14.83%E -5.82%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV +1.20%E +0.461%K +0.749%G +0.009% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-21 01:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -14.83%E -5.82%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV +1.20%E +0.461%K +0.749%G +0.009% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-21 01:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -16.50%E -6.60%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -0.748%E -0.293%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-21 01:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -16.50%E -6.60%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -0.748%E -0.293%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-21 01:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -16.50%E -6.60%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -0.748%E -0.293%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-21 01:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -16.50%E -6.60%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -0.748%E -0.293%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-21 01:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -16.50%E -6.60%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -0.748%E -0.293%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-21 01:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -16.50%E -6.60%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -0.748%E -0.293%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-21 01:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -16.50%E -6.60%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -0.748%E -0.293%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-21 01:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77%EV -18.84%E -7.75%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-21 01:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77%EV -18.84%E -7.75%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-21 01:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77%EV -18.84%E -7.75%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-21 01:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -19.84%E -8.27%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.76%EV -3.47%E -1.40%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-21 01:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 36.78%EV -22.18%E -9.52%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.01%EV -7.36%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.21%EV -12.81%E -4.07%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-21 01:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-09-21 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44% | 1.2% | 2026-09-21 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44% | 1.2% | 2026-09-21 02:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-09-21 02:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.02% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.00% | 2.1% | 2026-09-21 02:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92% | 7.1% | 2026-09-21 02:10 |