L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Querétaro v León

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-21 02:11 UTC

Score final : Querétaro 1–1 León

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Querétaro (Local)

Prévision 33.40%2.99cote équitable
EV +3.54%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.68%
Croissance +0.060%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.02%33.48%33.36%36.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.332.692.703.1042.92%37.23%37.04%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

León (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.92%2.57cote équitable
EV +1.20%
Avantage +0.461%
Kelly +0.749%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.74%38.79%38.96%41.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.222.412.402.6045.05%41.47%41.67%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.68%3.61cote équitable
EV -3.13%
Avantage -0.893%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.00%27.73%27.68%29.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.313.353.5033.33%30.20%29.85%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Querétaro (Local) : 33.40% ; León (Visiteur) : 38.92% ; Match nul : 27.68%. Pour Querétaro (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.99. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.10, soit une espérance positive de +3.54%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%EV +3.54%E +1.14%K +1.68%G +0.060%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.10%EV -8.92%E -3.81%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.88%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-21 01:59
GTbets🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -2.47%E -0.847%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.76%EV -6.98%E -2.92%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.70%EV -5.06%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-21 01:59
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.28%EV -2.81%E -0.965%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.89%EV -3.08%E -1.24%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.83%EV -3.68%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-21 02:04
Coolbet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.62%EV -3.81%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.72%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -3.13%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-21 02:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -4.81%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -1.53%E -0.603%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV -4.23%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-21 01:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -4.81%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.18%EV -1.53%E -0.603%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV -4.23%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-21 01:39
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.81%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 01:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -4.81%E -1.69%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -12.42%E -5.52%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-21 02:04
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.64%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 02:09
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-21 01:59
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-21 01:59
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-21 02:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.36%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-21 01:59
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.36%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-21 02:00
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -7.36%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-21 01:59
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-21 02:07
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-21 02:09
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-21 01:34
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.59%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-21 01:33
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-21 02:05
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -12.42%E -5.52%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -16.97%E -5.66%K -8.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-21 02:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -12.42%E -5.52%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -16.97%E -5.66%K -8.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-21 02:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -8.15%E -2.96%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -12.42%E -5.52%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -16.97%E -5.66%K -8.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-21 02:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.03%EV -5.81%E -2.40%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-21 01:30
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-21 02:09
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-21 02:04
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-21 01:59
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-21 02:03
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-21 02:09
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -9.82%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -16.97%E -5.66%K -8.48%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-21 02:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.93%EV -10.82%E -4.05%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.60%EV -13.59%E -6.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-21 01:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -11.49%E -4.34%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.42%E -5.52%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -12.81%E -4.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-21 02:09
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.49%E -4.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-21 01:59
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -13.16%E -5.06%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -10.48%E -4.56%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-21 02:07
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -14.83%E -5.82%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV +1.20%E +0.461%K +0.749%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-21 01:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -14.83%E -5.82%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV +1.20%E +0.461%K +0.749%G +0.009%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-21 01:34
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -16.50%E -6.60%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -0.748%E -0.293%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-21 01:34
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -16.50%E -6.60%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -0.748%E -0.293%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-21 01:34
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -16.50%E -6.60%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -0.748%E -0.293%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-21 01:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -16.50%E -6.60%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -0.748%E -0.293%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-21 01:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -16.50%E -6.60%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -0.748%E -0.293%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-21 01:34
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -16.50%E -6.60%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -0.748%E -0.293%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-21 01:34
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -16.50%E -6.60%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -0.748%E -0.293%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-21 01:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77%EV -18.84%E -7.75%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-21 01:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77%EV -18.84%E -7.75%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-21 01:34
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77%EV -18.84%E -7.75%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-21 01:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -19.84%E -8.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.76%EV -3.47%E -1.40%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-21 01:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 36.78%EV -22.18%E -9.52%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.01%EV -7.36%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.21%EV -12.81%E -4.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-21 01:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-09-21 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%1.2%2026-09-21 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%1.2%2026-09-21 02:09
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-09-21 02:09
Matchbook◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.00%2.1%2026-09-21 02:09
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 36.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%7.1%2026-09-21 02:10