L’École des cotes

Querétaro v FC Juárez

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-23 01:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Querétaro (Local)

Prévision 36.81%2.72cote équitable
EV -0.620%
Avantage -0.230%
Kelly -0.365%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.23%36.66%36.92%37.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.322.552.552.7043.10%39.26%39.22%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Juárez (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.88%3.04cote équitable
EV +0.605%
Avantage +0.198%
Kelly +0.294%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.31%33.03%32.59%35.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.732.703.0639.22%36.63%37.04%32.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.32%3.30cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.454%
Kelly -0.656%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.21%30.31%30.48%31.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.823.063.103.2535.46%32.65%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.93%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.65%EV +0.605%E +0.198%K +0.294%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 23:00
Coolbet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -5.04%E -1.95%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -2.03%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 00:34
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -7.25%E -2.88%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -2.03%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -9.66%E -3.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 22:44
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -7.25%E -2.88%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -2.03%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -9.66%E -3.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 22:44
Bovada2.47I 40.49%NM 37.39%EV -9.09%E -3.68%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -3.01%E -1.02%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-23 00:55
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -6.14%E -2.41%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 21:24
BetUS2.49I 40.16%NM 37.00%EV -8.35%E -3.35%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 22:44
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.31%E -1.84%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 13:15
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -6.30%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 22:45
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -7.94%E -2.84%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -2.99%E -0.935%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 19:04
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.14%E -2.41%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.99%E -0.935%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 23:09
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.14%E -2.41%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 19:00
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 18:59
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -0.620%E -0.230%K -0.365%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -11.23%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.48%E -0.454%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-20 05:35
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -0.620%E -0.230%K -0.365%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -11.23%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.48%E -0.454%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-20 05:35
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -11.23%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-23 00:55
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.23%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-23 00:49
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.23%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-23 00:49
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.23%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-23 00:49
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.23%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-23 00:50
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -12.88%E -4.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 05:35
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -12.88%E -4.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 05:35
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.06%EV -14.61%E -6.30%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.45%EV -12.88%E -4.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.49%EV -14.51%E -5.15%K -7.97%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-23 00:55
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -13.53%E -5.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-20 05:35
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -13.53%E -5.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-20 05:35
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -13.53%E -5.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -13.53%E -5.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -13.53%E -5.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -13.53%E -5.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-20 05:35
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -13.53%E -5.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-20 05:35
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -13.53%E -5.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 19:05
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.86%E -5.29%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 22:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.52%E -5.58%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 05:35
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -14.52%E -5.58%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -14.52%E -5.58%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -14.52%E -5.58%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -6.14%E -2.41%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -16.16%E -6.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-02-23 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-02-23 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-02-23 00:35
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-02-23 00:55
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66%3.5%2026-02-23 00:55