La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Querétaro v FC Juárez
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Querétaro (Local)
Predicción 36.81%2.72momio equitativo
EV -0.620%
Ventaja -0.230%
Kelly -0.365%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.23%36.66%36.92%37.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.322.552.552.7043.10%39.26%39.22%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Juárez (Visitante)
Predicción 32.88%3.04momio equitativo
EV +0.605%
Ventaja +0.198%
Kelly +0.294%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.31%33.03%32.59%35.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.732.703.0639.22%36.63%37.04%32.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.32%3.30momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.454%
Kelly -0.656%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.21%30.31%30.48%31.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.823.063.103.2535.46%32.65%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.93%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.65%EV +0.605%E +0.198%K +0.294%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-22 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -5.04%E -1.95%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -2.03%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-23 00:34 |
| Betsson | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -7.25%E -2.88%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -2.03%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -9.66%E -3.24%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-22 22:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -7.25%E -2.88%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -2.03%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -9.66%E -3.24%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-22 22:44 |
| Bovada | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.39%EV -9.09%E -3.68%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -3.01%E -1.02%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-23 00:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -6.14%E -2.41%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 21:24 |
| BetUS | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.00%EV -8.35%E -3.35%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 22:44 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.31%E -1.84%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-22 13:15 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -6.30%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-22 22:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -7.94%E -2.84%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -2.99%E -0.935%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 19:04 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.14%E -2.41%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.99%E -0.935%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-22 23:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.14%E -2.41%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 19:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-22 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -12.40%E -5.21%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -0.620%E -0.230%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -11.23%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.48%E -0.454%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -0.620%E -0.230%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -11.23%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.48%E -0.454%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Fliff | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -11.23%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-23 00:55 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.23%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-23 00:49 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.23%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-23 00:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.23%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-23 00:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.23%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-23 00:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -12.88%E -4.86%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -12.88%E -4.86%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.06%EV -14.61%E -6.30%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.45%EV -12.88%E -4.86%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.49%EV -14.51%E -5.15%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-02-23 00:55 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -13.53%E -5.15%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -13.53%E -5.15%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -13.53%E -5.15%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -13.53%E -5.15%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -13.53%E -5.15%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -13.53%E -5.15%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| betPARX | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -3.20%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -13.53%E -5.15%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.82%E -4.01%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -13.53%E -5.15%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-22 19:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.98%E -3.19%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.86%E -5.29%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.05%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 22:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.52%E -5.58%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -14.52%E -5.58%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -14.52%E -5.58%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -4.30%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -14.52%E -5.58%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.02%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -6.14%E -2.41%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -16.16%E -6.34%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-02-23 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 1.7% | 2026-02-23 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 1.7% | 2026-02-23 00:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 1.7% | 2026-02-23 00:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.66% | 3.5% | 2026-02-23 00:55 |