Language:English
Querétaro v América
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Querétaro (Local)
Prediction 20.86%4.79fair odd
EV +6.17%
Edge +1.21%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.093%
assuming max odds 5.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.87%20.89%20.88%22.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.454.455.0925.00%22.45%22.47%19.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
América (Visit)
Prediction 52.27%1.91fair odd
EV -4.34%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -5.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.08%52.17%52.29%53.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.761.761.8360.61%56.92%56.82%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.87%3.72fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.303%
Kelly -0.416%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.29%26.94%26.83%28.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.393.403.6833.33%29.54%29.41%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Querétaro (Local): 20.86%; América (Visit): 52.27%; Draw: 26.87%. For Querétaro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.87%EV +6.17%E +1.21%K +1.51%G +0.093% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.76%EV -7.03%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.24%EV -0.298%E -0.062%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.46%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.29%EV -1.12%E -0.303%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.24%EV -0.298%E -0.062%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.46%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.29%EV -1.12%E -0.303%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -0.924%E -0.195%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV -1.97%E -0.419%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.77%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.68%EV -2.73%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -1.97%E -0.419%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.77%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91%EV -4.61%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -1.97%E -0.419%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.77%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91%EV -4.61%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.05%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.47%EV -7.83%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 22:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 22:53 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -5.10%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.67%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -7.57%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.44%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.61%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -7.18%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -6.96%E -3.91%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -7.18%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -6.96%E -3.91%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 22:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.37%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.98%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.01%EV -9.05%E -5.20%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.66%EV -10.62%E -6.21%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -9.98%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 22:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.98%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -16.70%E -5.39%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -16.70%E -5.39%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -16.70%E -5.39%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -16.70%E -5.39%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.57%EV -12.71%E -7.61%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -12.67%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.84%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 22:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.67%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.67%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -12.67%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.35%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.17%EV -12.71%E -7.61%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -19.39%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-07 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.14%EV -13.44%E -3.24%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.14%E -6.55%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.25%EV -13.48%E -4.19%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.89%EV -14.48%E -3.53%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 51.91%EV -13.75%E -8.33%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.19%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.09%E -5.87%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.13% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.80% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79% | 2.3% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.21% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.94% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |