La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Querétaro v América
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Querétaro (Local)
Predicción 20.86%4.79momio equitativo
EV +6.17%
Ventaja +1.21%
Kelly +1.51%
Crecimiento +0.093%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.87%20.89%20.88%22.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.454.455.0925.00%22.45%22.47%19.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
América (Visitante)
Predicción 52.27%1.91momio equitativo
EV -4.34%
Ventaja -2.37%
Kelly -5.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.08%52.17%52.29%53.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.761.761.8360.61%56.92%56.82%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.87%3.72momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.303%
Kelly -0.416%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.29%26.94%26.83%28.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.403.6833.33%29.54%29.41%27.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.87%EV +6.17%E +1.21%K +1.51%G +0.093% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.76%EV -7.03%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.24%EV -0.298%E -0.062%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.46%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.29%EV -1.12%E -0.303%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.24%EV -0.298%E -0.062%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.46%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.29%EV -1.12%E -0.303%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| BetUS | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -0.924%E -0.195%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Pinnacle | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV -1.97%E -0.419%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.77%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.68%EV -2.73%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -1.97%E -0.419%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.77%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91%EV -4.61%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -1.97%E -0.419%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.77%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91%EV -4.61%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| GTbets | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.05%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.47%EV -7.83%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 22:54 |
| FanDuel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 22:54 |
| Bet Victor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 22:53 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| Casumo | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| Grosvenor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| betPARX | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -5.10%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.67%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -7.57%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| DraftKings | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.44%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.61%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| BetRivers | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| TABtouch | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| SportsBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -7.18%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -6.96%E -3.91%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -7.18%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -6.96%E -3.91%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| BetMGM | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 22:29 |
| PlayUp | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Bet Right | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 22:55 |
| Everygame | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.37%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.98%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Fliff | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.01%EV -9.05%E -5.20%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.66%EV -10.62%E -6.21%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -9.98%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| Betway | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 22:54 |
| Paddy Power | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.98%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 22:55 |
| 888sport | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -16.70%E -5.39%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -16.70%E -5.39%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -16.70%E -5.39%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| William Hill | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -16.70%E -5.39%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 22:50 |
| Fanatics | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| LeoVegas | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.57%EV -12.71%E -7.61%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -12.67%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.84%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 22:43 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.67%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.53%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.67%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |
| Sky Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -12.67%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.35%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.17%EV -12.71%E -7.61%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -19.39%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-07 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.14%EV -13.44%E -3.24%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.61%EV -11.14%E -6.55%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.25%EV -13.48%E -4.19%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.89%EV -14.48%E -3.53%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 51.91%EV -13.75%E -8.33%K -21.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.19%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.09%E -5.87%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-07 22:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| Matchbook | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.13% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.80% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 22:44 |
| Smarkets | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79% | 2.3% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| Kalshi | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.21% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.94% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 22:30 |