Language:English
Pumas v Querétaro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pumas (Local)
Prediction 49.33%2.03fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -4.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.80%49.41%49.26%51.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.871.871.9557.14%53.62%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Querétaro (Visit)
Prediction 24.26%4.12fair odd
EV +4.34%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.31%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.13%24.19%24.33%25.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.763.704.3028.99%26.60%27.03%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.41%3.79fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -0.546%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.33%26.40%26.41%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.503.7331.25%28.67%28.57%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pumas (Local): 49.33%; Querétaro (Visit): 24.26%; Draw: 26.41%. For Querétaro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV +4.34%E +1.01%K +1.31%G +0.057% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 06:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.93%EV -0.032%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.02%EV -4.13%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.49%EV -3.81%E -1.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.71%EV -1.25%E -0.306%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.80%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.40%EV -1.25%E -0.306%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.40%EV -1.25%E -0.306%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -7.76%E -4.15%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.79%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.45%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.76%EV -1.49%E -0.400%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 17:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.16%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -6.58%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.27%EV -7.27%E -3.87%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.12%EV -6.83%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -8.09%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -6.77%E -3.58%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -3.60%E -0.987%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -6.77%E -3.58%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -3.60%E -0.987%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 17:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.54%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -2.28%E -0.617%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -2.28%E -0.617%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.29%E -2.76%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 17:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.29%E -2.76%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -7.76%E -4.15%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -7.76%E -4.15%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 17:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -7.76%E -4.15%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -7.76%E -4.15%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -7.76%E -4.15%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 17:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -7.76%E -4.15%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 17:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -7.76%E -4.15%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 17:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -11.21%E -6.23%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-14 11:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.30%EV -10.72%E -5.92%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -11.44%E -3.13%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -12.65%E -3.51%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.65%E -3.51%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -12.65%E -3.51%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -15.49%E -4.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-16 17:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -12.65%E -3.51%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -15.49%E -4.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -12.65%E -3.51%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -15.49%E -4.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-16 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -12.65%E -3.51%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -15.49%E -4.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-16 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.50%EV -12.69%E -7.17%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -12.65%E -3.51%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -11.53%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -13.86%E -3.90%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.72%E -5.92%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -13.86%E -3.90%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.72%E -5.92%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -13.86%E -3.90%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.72%E -5.92%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -13.86%E -3.90%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 17:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.08%EV -13.68%E -7.82%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.89%EV -16.29%E -4.72%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28% | 0.1% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28% | 0.1% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28% | 0.1% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28% | 0.1% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.53% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |