Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pumas v Querétaro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 18:00 UTC

Score final : Pumas 0–0 Querétaro

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pumas (Local)

Prévision 49.33%2.03cote équitable
EV -3.81%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -4.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.80%49.41%49.26%51.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.871.871.9557.14%53.62%53.48%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Querétaro (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.26%4.12cote équitable
EV +4.34%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.31%
Croissance +0.057%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.13%24.19%24.33%25.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.763.704.3028.99%26.60%27.03%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.41%3.79cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.400%
Kelly -0.546%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.33%26.40%26.41%27.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.493.503.7331.25%28.67%28.57%26.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pumas (Local) : 49.33% ; Querétaro (Visiteur) : 24.26% ; Match nul : 26.41%. Pour Querétaro (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.12. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.30, soit une espérance positive de +4.34%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV +4.34%E +1.01%K +1.31%G +0.057%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 06:39
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.93%EV -0.032%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.02%EV -4.13%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 00:05
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.49%EV -3.81%E -1.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.71%EV -1.25%E -0.306%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.80%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.40%EV -1.25%E -0.306%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.40%EV -1.25%E -0.306%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:35
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 16:40
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -7.76%E -4.15%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.94%E -0.736%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:54
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.79%EV -4.80%E -2.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.45%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.76%EV -1.49%E -0.400%K -0.546%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 17:54
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 17:39
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.16%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -6.58%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.27%EV -7.27%E -3.87%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.12%EV -6.83%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -8.09%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 17:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -6.77%E -3.58%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -3.60%E -0.987%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -6.77%E -3.58%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -3.60%E -0.987%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 17:15
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 17:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 17:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 17:34
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 17:49
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 17:35
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 17:45
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.54%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -9.01%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 17:40
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -2.28%E -0.617%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 17:54
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -2.28%E -0.617%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 17:54
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.29%E -2.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 17:09
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.29%E -2.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -7.76%E -4.15%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -7.76%E -4.15%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 17:14
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -7.76%E -4.15%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 17:15
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -7.76%E -4.15%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 17:15
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -7.76%E -4.15%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 17:14
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -7.76%E -4.15%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 17:14
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -7.76%E -4.15%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 17:14
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -11.21%E -6.23%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 11:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.30%EV -10.72%E -5.92%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -11.44%E -3.13%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 17:34
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -12.65%E -3.51%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 17:15
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.73%E -5.32%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.65%E -3.51%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 17:40
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -12.65%E -3.51%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -15.49%E -4.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-16 17:35
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -12.65%E -3.51%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -15.49%E -4.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-16 17:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -12.65%E -3.51%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -15.49%E -4.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-16 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -8.75%E -4.73%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -12.65%E -3.51%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -15.49%E -4.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-16 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.50%EV -12.69%E -7.17%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -12.65%E -3.51%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -11.53%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-16 17:54
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -13.86%E -3.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.72%E -5.92%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -13.86%E -3.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.72%E -5.92%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -13.86%E -3.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.72%E -5.92%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -13.86%E -3.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 17:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.08%EV -13.68%E -7.82%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.89%EV -16.29%E -4.72%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -12.85%E -3.89%K -5.59%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-16 17:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28%0.1%2026-08-16 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28%0.1%2026-08-16 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28%0.1%2026-08-16 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28%0.1%2026-08-16 17:54
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-08-16 17:55