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Pumas v Monterrey

2026-11-22 01:00 UTC — Liga MX

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pumas (Local)

Prediction 37.70%2.65fair odd
EV -5.76%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -3.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.31%37.57%37.68%38.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.402.382.5044.84%41.66%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Monterrey (Visit)

Prediction 36.50%2.74fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.533%
Kelly -0.846%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.67%36.48%36.45%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.502.482.7041.67%39.92%40.32%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.80%3.88fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.515%
Kelly -0.699%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.27%25.94%25.87%27.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.503.553.8030.77%28.61%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pumas (Local): 37.70%; Monterrey (Visit): 36.50%; Draw: 25.80%. For Monterrey (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.70, with an expected value of -1.44%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.70%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -1.44%E -0.533%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -1.96%E -0.515%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-13 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.70%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -1.44%E -0.533%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -1.96%E -0.515%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-13 15:00
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-13 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -6.52%E -2.63%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -9.47%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.73%EV -7.63%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-13 14:40
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -6.52%E -2.63%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -9.47%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.73%EV -7.63%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-13 14:39
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.65%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 14:39
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.65%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 14:39
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -7.65%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-13 14:39
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -7.65%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-13 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -7.65%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-13 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -7.65%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-13 14:39
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.39%E -5.16%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-13 14:40
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -10.29%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -10.29%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 15:00
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -10.29%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -10.29%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 15:00
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -10.29%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 15:00
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -10.29%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 15:00
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -10.29%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-13 14:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -12.17%E -5.22%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -10.99%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-13 14:54
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -12.17%E -5.22%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -10.99%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-13 14:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -12.17%E -5.22%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -10.99%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-13 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.75%EV -9.47%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -10.99%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-13 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 38.63%EV -14.43%E -6.36%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.09%EV -11.30%E -4.65%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.27%EV -10.47%E -3.02%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-13 14:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.39%EV -15.94%E -7.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.67%EV -12.39%E -5.16%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000%16.8%2026-11-13 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 41.11%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%12.1%2026-11-14 01:20
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 37.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 36.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.63%16.5%2026-11-13 14:40

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