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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Pumas v Monterrey

2026-11-22 01:00 UTC — Liga MX

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pumas (主队)

预测 37.70%2.65公平赔率
EV -5.76%
优势 -2.30%
Kelly -3.84%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
36.31%37.57%37.68%38.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.232.402.382.5044.84%41.66%42.02%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Monterrey (客队)

预测 36.50%2.74公平赔率
EV -1.44%
优势 -0.533%
Kelly -0.846%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
35.67%36.48%36.45%37.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.502.482.7041.67%39.92%40.32%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.80%3.88公平赔率
EV -1.96%
优势 -0.515%
Kelly -0.699%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.80

博彩公司预测分布
25.27%25.94%25.87%27.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.503.553.8030.77%28.61%28.17%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Pumas (主队)：37.70%；Monterrey (客队)：36.50%；平局：25.80%。 对于“Monterrey (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.74。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.70，期望值为-1.44%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.70%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -1.44%E -0.533%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -1.96%E -0.515%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-13 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.70%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -1.44%E -0.533%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -1.96%E -0.515%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-13 15:00
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.09%E -1.96%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-13 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -6.52%E -2.63%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -9.47%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.73%EV -7.63%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-13 14:40
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -6.52%E -2.63%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -9.47%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.73%EV -7.63%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-13 14:39
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.65%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 14:39
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.65%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 14:39
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -7.65%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-13 14:39
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -7.65%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-13 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -7.65%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-13 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -7.65%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-13 14:39
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.39%E -5.16%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-13 14:40
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -10.29%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -10.29%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 15:00
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -10.29%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -10.29%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 15:00
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -10.29%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 15:00
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.41%EV -10.29%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -6.91%E -2.71%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-13 15:00
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -10.29%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -10.56%E -4.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-13 14:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -12.17%E -5.22%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -10.99%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-13 14:54
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -12.17%E -5.22%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -10.99%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-13 14:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -12.17%E -5.22%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.74%EV -8.74%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -10.99%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-13 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.75%EV -9.47%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -10.99%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-13 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 38.63%EV -14.43%E -6.36%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.09%EV -11.30%E -4.65%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.27%EV -10.47%E -3.02%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-13 14:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.39%EV -15.94%E -7.15%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.67%EV -12.39%E -5.16%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000%16.8%2026-11-13 14:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 40.02%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%10.1%2026-11-14 01:30
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 37.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 36.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.63%16.5%2026-11-13 14:40

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