L’École des cotes

Pumas v Cruz Azul

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 03:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pumas (Local)

Prévision 27.30%3.66cote équitable
EV +3.76%
Avantage +0.989%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.09%27.18%27.34%28.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.373.303.8032.26%29.71%30.30%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cruz Azul (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.09%2.17cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -2.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.84%46.24%45.99%47.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.802.002.002.1255.56%50.11%50.00%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.61%3.76cote équitable
EV -3.42%
Avantage -0.942%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.47%26.58%26.66%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.453.503.6332.26%29.01%28.57%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV +3.76%E +0.989%K +1.34%G +0.050%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 02:55
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV +3.76%E +0.989%K +1.34%G +0.050%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 02:50
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV +3.76%E +0.989%K +1.34%G +0.050%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 02:50
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV +1.03%E +0.277%K +0.380%G +0.004%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 02:59
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -1.70%E -0.473%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 03:00
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -3.07%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 03:05
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 27.19%EV -3.62%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.59%E -2.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.44%EV -3.42%E -0.942%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 02:59
Coolbet3.52I 28.41%NM 27.04%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.76%EV -4.13%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 02:50
GTbets3.51I 28.49%NM 26.61%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.15%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 02:50
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 03:00
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 03:00
Marathon Bet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -4.98%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.54%EV -8.28%E -4.16%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 02:59
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.80%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -8.74%E -4.42%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 03:04
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 03:00
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 03:00
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 02:59
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.87%E -3.24%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 03:00
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.53%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-15 03:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.09%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.39%EV -17.04%E -9.47%K -21.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -17.52%E -5.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-15 02:59
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -2.29%E -1.08%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 02:39
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -2.29%E -1.08%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 02:40
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 03:00
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 03:00
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 03:00
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 03:05
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 02:45
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 02:40
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 02:40
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 02:40
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 02:40
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 02:40
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 03:00
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 03:05
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.86%E -4.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 03:04
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.53%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 03:05
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.53%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 03:05
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.53%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 03:05
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 02:40
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -5.98%E -2.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 02:40
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -8.74%E -4.42%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 03:00
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 03:00
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 03:00
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 02:39
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 02:40
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 03:00
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 02:58
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -13.99%E -4.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.10%EV -13.81%E -7.39%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.53%EV -13.53%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-15 03:05
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -15.36%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -11.51%E -5.99%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 03:00
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -15.36%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.17%EV -10.59%E -5.46%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-15 02:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-03-15 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-03-15 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.83%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-03-15 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.83%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-03-15 03:05
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.71%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%2.4%2026-03-15 03:05
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-03-15 03:05