La escuela de los momios

Pumas v Cruz Azul

Inicio: 2026-03-15 03:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pumas (Local)

Predicción 27.30%3.66momio equitativo
EV +3.76%
Ventaja +0.989%
Kelly +1.34%
Crecimiento +0.050%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.09%27.18%27.34%28.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.373.303.8032.26%29.71%30.30%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cruz Azul (Visitante)

Predicción 46.09%2.17momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -2.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.84%46.24%45.99%47.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.802.002.002.1255.56%50.11%50.00%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.61%3.76momio equitativo
EV -3.42%
Ventaja -0.942%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.47%26.58%26.66%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.453.503.6332.26%29.01%28.57%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV +3.76%E +0.989%K +1.34%G +0.050%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 02:55
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV +3.76%E +0.989%K +1.34%G +0.050%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 02:50
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV +3.76%E +0.989%K +1.34%G +0.050%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 02:50
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV +1.03%E +0.277%K +0.380%G +0.004%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 02:59
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -1.70%E -0.473%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 03:00
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -3.07%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 03:05
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 27.19%EV -3.62%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.59%E -2.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.44%EV -3.42%E -0.942%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 02:59
Coolbet3.52I 28.41%NM 27.04%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.76%EV -4.13%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 02:50
GTbets3.51I 28.49%NM 26.61%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.15%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 02:50
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 03:00
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 03:00
Marathon Bet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -4.98%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.54%EV -8.28%E -4.16%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 02:59
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.80%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -8.74%E -4.42%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 03:04
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 03:00
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 03:00
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 02:59
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.87%E -3.24%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 03:00
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.53%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-15 03:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.09%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.39%EV -17.04%E -9.47%K -21.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -17.52%E -5.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-15 02:59
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -2.29%E -1.08%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 02:39
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -2.29%E -1.08%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 02:40
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 03:00
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 03:00
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 03:00
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 03:05
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 02:45
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 02:40
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 02:40
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 02:40
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 02:40
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 02:40
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 03:00
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 03:05
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.86%E -4.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 03:04
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.53%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 03:05
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.53%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 03:05
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.53%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 03:05
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 02:40
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -5.98%E -2.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 02:40
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -8.74%E -4.42%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 03:00
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 03:00
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 03:00
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 02:39
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 02:40
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 03:00
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 02:58
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -13.99%E -4.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.10%EV -13.81%E -7.39%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.53%EV -13.53%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-15 03:05
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -15.36%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -11.51%E -5.99%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 03:00
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -15.36%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.17%EV -10.59%E -5.46%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-15 02:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-03-15 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-03-15 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.83%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-03-15 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.83%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-03-15 03:05
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.71%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%2.4%2026-03-15 03:05
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-03-15 03:05