مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pumas v Cruz Azul

البداية: 2026-03-15 03:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pumas (المضيف)

التنبؤ 27.30%3.66السعر العادل
EV +3.76%
الأفضلية +0.989%
Kelly +1.34%
النمو +0.050%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.09%27.18%27.34%28.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.373.303.8032.26%29.71%30.30%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cruz Azul (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.09%2.17السعر العادل
EV -2.29%
الأفضلية -1.08%
Kelly -2.04%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.84%46.24%45.99%47.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.802.002.002.1255.56%50.11%50.00%47.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.61%3.76السعر العادل
EV -3.42%
الأفضلية -0.942%
Kelly -1.30%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.47%26.58%26.66%27.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.453.503.6332.26%29.01%28.57%27.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV +3.76%E +0.989%K +1.34%G +0.050%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 02:55
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV +3.76%E +0.989%K +1.34%G +0.050%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 02:50
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV +3.76%E +0.989%K +1.34%G +0.050%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 02:50
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV +1.03%E +0.277%K +0.380%G +0.004%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 02:59
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -1.70%E -0.473%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 03:00
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -3.07%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 03:05
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 27.19%EV -3.62%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.59%E -2.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.44%EV -3.42%E -0.942%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 02:59
Coolbet3.52I 28.41%NM 27.04%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.76%EV -4.13%E -1.99%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 02:50
GTbets3.51I 28.49%NM 26.61%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.15%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 02:50
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 03:00
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 03:00
Marathon Bet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -4.98%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.54%EV -8.28%E -4.16%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 02:59
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -5.80%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -8.74%E -4.42%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 03:04
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 03:00
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 03:00
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.22%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 02:59
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.87%E -3.24%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 03:00
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.53%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-15 03:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.09%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.39%EV -17.04%E -9.47%K -21.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -17.52%E -5.65%K -8.34%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-15 02:59
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -2.29%E -1.08%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 02:39
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -2.29%E -1.08%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 02:40
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 03:00
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 03:00
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 03:00
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 03:05
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 02:45
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 02:40
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 02:40
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 02:40
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 02:40
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.19%EV -5.06%E -2.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 02:40
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 03:00
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 03:05
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.86%E -4.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 03:04
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.53%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 03:05
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.53%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 03:05
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.53%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 03:05
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -5.52%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 02:40
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -5.98%E -2.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.21%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 02:40
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -8.74%E -4.42%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 03:00
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.13%E -5.19%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 03:00
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 03:00
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -6.90%E -3.42%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 02:39
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -7.82%E -3.91%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 02:40
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -6.88%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 03:00
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -11.97%E -6.27%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 02:58
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -13.99%E -4.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.10%EV -13.81%E -7.39%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.53%EV -13.53%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-15 03:05
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -15.36%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -11.51%E -5.99%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -9.54%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 03:00
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -15.36%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.17%EV -10.59%E -5.46%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.20%E -3.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-15 02:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-03-15 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-03-15 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.83%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-03-15 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.83%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%1.9%2026-03-15 03:05
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.71%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%2.4%2026-03-15 03:05
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-03-15 03:05